Braves vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 18

Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Bryce Harper (3) walks off the field after striking out in the first inning of a baseball game against the Atlanta Braves, Saturday, May 27, 2023, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)
(AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)
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  • The Phillies are -135 favorites vs the Braves
  • Braves vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Braves / Phillies TV Channel: FOX

The Atlanta Braves (+110) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-135) on April 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Braves are 13-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 4-15 ATS.

Braves vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 3-1, 3.28 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 2-1, 2.02 ERA

Braves vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves+1.5 -210O 7 -105+110
Phillies -1.5 +170U 7 -115-135

Braves vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ozzie Albies has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+17.95 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Mauricio Dubon has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+16.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Drake Baldwin has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.70 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Edmundo Sosa has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+17.00 Units / 170% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 35 away games (+24.70 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 away games (+13.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+11.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 away games (+8.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+10.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+5.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+4.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 12-8 against the Run Line (+7.95 Units / 38.41% ROI).

  • 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 11.54% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -8.31% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 2.3% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 4-15 against the Run Line (-11.5 Units / -55.42% ROI).

  • 8-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.05 Units / -26.14% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 6.43% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -13.22% ROI

Phillies vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kyle Schwarber +333
Adolis Garcia +450
Austin Riley +450
Bryce Harper +475
Edmundo Sosa +500

Phillies vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Trea Turner 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Ronald Acuna Jr. 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Austin Riley 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Phillies vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Trea Turner 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Jonah Heim 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Michael Harris II 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Alec Bohm 0.5 -135 0.5 +100

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Braves are 1-7 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .048.

The Braves are just 14-73 (.161) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Braves are 11-1 (.917) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .765.

The Braves are just 7-42 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Phillies are 17-55 (.236) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.

The Phillies are 29-102 (.221) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .134.

The Phillies were 96-66 (.593) in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Braves hitters are slugging .372 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .804 (767 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .470 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .809 (530 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Phillies batted just .231 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters had an OBP of just .292 (730 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters slugged .434 against RHP in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 22 double plays in 122 opportunities (18%) this season — tied for best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 2.78 (178.0 IP) this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.