• The Braves are +100 favorites vs the Phillies
• Braves vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Braves / Phillies TV Channel: PEAC

The Atlanta Braves (+100) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-120) on April 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Braves are 14-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 4-16 ATS.

Braves vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 1-1, 3.33 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Andrew Painter 1-0, 3.77 ERA

Braves vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Braves vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Dominic Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+19.00 Units / 211% ROI)
• Ozzie Albies has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+17.95 Units / 72% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.45 Units / 57% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+14.35 Units / 29% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.80 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.65 Units / 49% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 47% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 40% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 20% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 35 away games (+25.70 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 away games (+15.00 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.15 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 away games (+8.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.80 Units / 50% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+11.80 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.90 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games at home (+3.95 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games at home (+3.60 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+3.30 Units / 7% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 13-8 against the Run Line (+8.95 Units / 39.25% ROI).

• 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 14.53% ROI
• 9-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -12.63% ROI
• 11-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.5 Units / 6.56% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 4-16 against the Run Line (-12.5 Units / -57.47% ROI).

• 8-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -28.91% ROI
• 10-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 1.13% ROI
• 9-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -7.99% ROI

Phillies vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Braves are 1-7 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves are 14-7 (.667) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 11-1 (.917) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .762.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Phillies are 17-56 (.233) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.

The Phillies are 87-24 (.784) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Phillies were 96-66 (.593) in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

The Braves are batting .293 at home this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .464 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .626 (427 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

The Phillies are batting just .179 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters had an OPS of .812 (3,038 PA’s) at home in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging just .277 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters had an OBP of just .292 (730 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Braves pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 23 double plays in 126 opportunities (18%) this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Braves pitchers in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 1.82 (79.0 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting .279 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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