- The Braves (43-32) are -140 favorites vs the Phillies (39-36)
- Braves starting pitcher: Kyle Wright (8-4), 3.17 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez (6-4), 4.23 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Atlanta Braves (-140) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+115) on Wednesday, June 29, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Braves vs Phillies Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 43-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 37-38 ATS.
Braves vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +115 | O 9 -115 | -140 |
| Phillies | +1.5 -140 | U 9 -105 | +115 |
Braves vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 67.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 43 of his last 61 games (+27.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 39 of his last 63 games (+19.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 61 games (+18.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 41 of his last 60 games (+14.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 44 of his last 63 games (+13.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+8.60 Units / 143% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+6.85 Units / 98% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+6.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Phillies vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -375 |
| Nick Castellanos | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Rhys Hoskins | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
Phillies vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Nick Castellanos | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Rhys Hoskins | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Phillies vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nick Castellanos | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Rhys Hoskins | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Phillies vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -140 |
| Kyle Wright | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 49 games (+16.82 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 games (+6.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 60 games (+5.65 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 59 games (+10.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 70 games (+9.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+5.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+0.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 38-37 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -2.17% ROI).
- 43-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.13% ROI
- 39-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.15 Units / 3.82% ROI
- 33-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.05 Units / -12.14% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 37-38 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -2.22% ROI).
- 39-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -3.67% ROI
- 42-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.9 Units / 9.55% ROI
- 31-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.1 Units / -18.33% ROI
Kyle Wright: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .420 (21-for-50) against Kyle Wright — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .242 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .464 (13-for-28) against Kyle Wright — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.
Kyle Wright has allowed an OBP of .500 (30 PA’s) against right-handed batters — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .303 — first Percentile.
Kyle Wright has allowed an OBP of .625 (16 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .275 — second Percentile.
Ranger Suárez: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (51/83) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 98th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has walked 27 of 246 right-handed batters (11%) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has a strike rate of just 60% (581/965) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.1 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season (80 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 89.9
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Braves are 5-1 (.833) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 25-7 (.781) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Braves are 24-17 (.585) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Phillies are 8-27 (.229) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .077.
The Phillies are just 0-7 (.000) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 8-27 (.229) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Phillies are just 121-13 (.903) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Braves hitters are slugging .746 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .565.
Braves hitters are slugging .527 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Braves hitters have missed on 29% of swings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have just 26 strikeouts in 173 PA’s (15%) against LHP over the last 14 days (10 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Phillies are 8-27 (.229) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .077.
Phillies hitters are slugging .632 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .565.
The Phillies are batting .361 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 53% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Phillies have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Phillies vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kent Emanuel (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D15
- James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Sherriff (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Connor Brogdon (Phillies): COVID, D10
- Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D10
- Johan Camargo (Phillies): Knee, D10
- Jean Segura (Phillies): Finger, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Nicholas Maton (Phillies): Shoulder, D10
- Joseph Romero (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Ronald Acuña Jr. (Braves): Foot, Day-to-Day
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
- Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
- Eddie Rosario (Braves): Eye, D60
- Kenley Jansen (Braves): Heart, D15
- Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
- Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Randy Jackson (Braves): Lat, D60
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