• The Pirates are -165 favorites vs the Braves
• Braves vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Braves / Pirates TV Channel: BRVN | SNPT | GRAY

The Atlanta Braves (+135) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-165) on July 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Braves are against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are ATS.

Braves vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Hurston Waldrep 0-0, 3.69 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 6-8, 3.62 ERA

Braves vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 60.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Braves vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+18.00 Units / 65% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.20 Units / 32% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.75 Units / 43% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.10 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Konnor Griffin has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+17.65 Units / 54% ROI)
• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+15.50 Units / 258% ROI)
• Konnor Griffin has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.10 Units / 33% ROI)
• Konnor Griffin has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+13.75 Units / 53% ROI)
• Konnor Griffin has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.45 Units / 44% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 away games (+12.65 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 away games (+8.80 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 away games (+8.00 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.95 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 away games (+5.25 Units / 9% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+13.80 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.95 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+6.95 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.10 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+2.50 Units / 13% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Pirates vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Braves are 6-0 (1.000) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 13-9 (.591) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Pirates (third in runs scored).

The Braves are 52-37 (.584) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 5-31 (.139) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Pirates are 36-8 (.818) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Pirates are just 3-23 (.115) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

The Pirates are just 19-26 (.422) after a win this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Pirates are just 20-48 (.294) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face Braves (fourth in runs allowed).

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters are slugging .303 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters have grounded into 37 double plays in 624 opportunities (6%) this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .558 (1,796 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .181 with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

The Pirates are batting .308 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of .806 (1,756 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 562 of their 1,600 plate appearances (35%) versus relief pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

The Braves have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 0.97 runs per game (86/89) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.55 (790.2 IP) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates have allowed 5.07 runs per game (228/45) at home this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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