- The Braves are +105 favorites vs the Rangers
- Braves vs Rangers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Braves / Rangers TV Channel: RASN | FDSO | FDSE
The Atlanta Braves (+100) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-120) on Sunday, July 27, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Braves are 44-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 56-48 ATS.
Braves vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 4-6, 5.68 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jack Leiter 6-6, 4.29 ERA
Braves vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +160 | O 9 +100 | +100 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -190 | U 9 -120 | -120 |
Braves vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+16.30 Units / 233% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.35 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+13.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+10.40 Units / 104% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+10.20 Units / 65% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 31% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 74 games (+5.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 away games (+5.52 Units / 16% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 62 of their last 105 games (+15.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 26 games (+13.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 49 games at home (+12.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 47 games at home (+11.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+11.45 Units / 33% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 41-61 against the Run Line (-20.72 Units / -17.33% ROI).
- 44-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -40.63 Units / -25.88% ROI
- 45-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.3 Units / -10.76% ROI
- 52-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 2.58% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 56-48 against the Run Line (+2.75 Units / 2% ROI).
- 55-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.15% ROI
- 42-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.6 Units / -21.68% ROI
- 62-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.15 Units / 12.88% ROI
Rangers vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -325 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
Rangers vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Josh H. Smith (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Rangers vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Rangers vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Leiter (TEX) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Bryce Elder (ATL) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Elder has spotted his fastball inside in the zone just 38% (98/259) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 53% — 0 Percentile.
Bryce Elder has thrown his fastball in the zone just 46% (342/742) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 58% — 0 Percentile.
Bryce Elder has located his fastballs down 52% of the time (384/742) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (16/112) against Bryce Elder with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 29% (70/245) against Jack Leiter with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 38% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 36% of Jack Leiter’s changeup (76/208) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 50% — second Percentile.
Jack Leiter has walked 12% of right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Jack Leiter has allowed an OPS of 1.064 (71 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .746 — second Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Braves are just 4-29 (.121) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.
The Braves are just 4-9 (.308) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are just 11-60 (.155) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.
The Braves are just 14-25 (.359) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Rangers (Ranks first runs allowed) today.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Rangers are just 13-86 (.131) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Rangers are just 3-27 (.100) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Rangers are just 15-24 (.385) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 15-64 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters have struck out in 35% of their PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Braves are batting just .131 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .148.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting just .161 on changeups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Rangers hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers hitters have struck out in 34% of their PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Rangers are batting just .216 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 42% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 45% of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .213 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Rangers pitchers walked 91 of 1,430 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% against Rangers pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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