- The Braves are -140 favorites vs the Rangers
- Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Atlanta Braves (-140) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+115) on Monday, May 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Braves vs Rangers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are 25-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 25-15 ATS.
Braves vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +110 | O 9 -105 | -140 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -135 | U 9 -115 | +115 |
Braves vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 71.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+12.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 37 games (+12.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+14.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+14.25 Units / 85% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+14.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+13.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.85 Units / 33% ROI)
Rangers vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
Rangers vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rangers vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Rangers vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +100 |
| Bradford | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -115 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+9.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 away games (+8.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 away games (+7.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 21 away games (+2.10 Units / 9% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 32 games (+18.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 games (+16.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 32 games (+15.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 32 games (+12.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.40 Units / 19% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 18-22 against the Run Line (-3.6 Units / -7.62% ROI).
- 25-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 7.22% ROI
- 23-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.75 Units / 13.28% ROI
- 16-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.75 Units / -21.81% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 25-15 against the Run Line (+8.65 Units / 16.54% ROI).
- 25-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.6 Units / 14.65% ROI
- 23-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.3 Units / 12.02% ROI
- 16-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.35 Units / -21.23% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – home
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
keys to the game – away
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
keys to the game – home
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .565 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Braves have a winning percentage of 83% on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .941 (471 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .743.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .817 (2,109 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers have scored three or more runs in an inning 33 times (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
The Rangers are batting .331 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Rangers have scored 6.35 runs per game (254/40) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.55.
Rangers hitters are slugging .434 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have won 86% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Braves pitchers have won 61% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 170 of 1,798 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Travis Jankowski (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D15
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D15
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D10
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Lucas Luetge (Braves): Bicep, D15
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
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