- The Braves are -110 favorites vs the Rangers
- Braves starting pitcher: Jared Shuster
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Atlanta Braves (-110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-110) on Tuesday, May 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Braves vs Rangers Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are 26-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 25-16 ATS.
Braves vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +140 | O 9.5 -105 | -110 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -165 | U 9.5 -115 | -110 |
Braves vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 62.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+13.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+12.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 away games (+10.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.50 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+14.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jonah Heim has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+13.25 Units / 75% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 34 games (+13.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+12.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Rangers vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Rangers vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rangers vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Dunning | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Shuster | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 41 games (+15.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+9.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 away games (+8.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 22 away games (+3.15 Units / 12% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 33 games (+17.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+15.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 33 games (+14.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 33 games (+11.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 19-22 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -5.38% ROI).
- 26-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 8.58% ROI
- 24-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.75 Units / 15.17% ROI
- 16-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.75 Units / -23.52% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 25-16 against the Run Line (+7.55 Units / 14.14% ROI).
- 25-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.6 Units / 12.73% ROI
- 24-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.3 Units / 13.91% ROI
- 16-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.35 Units / -22.97% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 14% (9/63) against Dane Dunning this season — 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — fourth Percentile.
Dane Dunning has a strikeout rate of just 32% (19 SO in 59 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — eighth Percentile.
Dane Dunning has a strikeout rate of just 16% (19 SO in 120 PAs) this season — tied for 8th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 10th Percentile.
Dane Dunning has a strikeout rate of just 32% (19 SO in 59 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 8th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% — eighth Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Braves are 25-18 (.581) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .298.
The Braves are 14-5 (.737) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 8-6 (.571) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Braves are 16-6 (.727) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Rangers are 7-3 (.700) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
The Rangers are just 77-15 (.837) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .911.
The Rangers are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.
The Rangers are just 39-34 (.534) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .584 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .961 (509 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
The Braves have a winning percentage of 83% on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .825 (2,147 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers have scored three or more runs in an inning 33 times (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 36% on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The Rangers are batting .326 with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Rangers are batting .298 with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have won 61% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Braves pitchers have won 86% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Braves have allowed 2.82 runs per game (62/22) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.56.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 173 of 1,807 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 73 times this season — fewest in MLB.
Rangers vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Knee, D10
- Travis Jankowski (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Corey Seager (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D15
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D15
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D10
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Lucas Luetge (Braves): Bicep, D15
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
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