- The Braves are -160 favorites vs the Rays
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley
- Watch the game on FOX
The Atlanta Braves (-160) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+135) on Saturday, July 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Braves vs Rays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are 59-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 49-42 ATS.
Braves vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +105 | O 8 -105 | -160 |
| Rays | +1.5 -130 | U 8 -115 | +135 |
Braves vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 69.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+10.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 50 games (+10.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 47 games (+9.90 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+14.35 Units / 58% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+9.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Zach Eflin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.75 Units / 66% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.45 Units / 28% ROI)
Rays vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Rays vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -115 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Rays vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Rays vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
| Spencer Strider | 8.5 -130 | 8.5 +100 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 56 of their last 87 games (+18.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 30 games (+18.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games (+14.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+11.85 Units / 34% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 47 games at home (+16.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 55 of their last 91 games (+14.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+12.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 48 games at home (+12.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 48 games at home (+10.15 Units / 16% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 44-43 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 0.98% ROI).
- 59-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.8 Units / 10.83% ROI
- 47-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.25 Units / 6.52% ROI
- 37-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.8 Units / -15.48% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 49-42 against the Run Line (+7.75 Units / 7.2% ROI).
- 57-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.1 Units / 6.16% ROI
- 50-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.95 Units / 8.91% ROI
- 37-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.05 Units / -18.09% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (356/902) against Spencer Strider this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 44% (188/426) against Spencer Strider this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 39% (155 SO in 402 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .486 (18-for-37) against Spencer Strider on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .341 — third Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (51/153) against Taj Bradley this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (49/131) against Taj Bradley on pitches in the strike zone this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Taj Bradley has a strike rate of 74% (220/296) in two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has struck out 33% (43/130) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Braves are 18-9 (.667) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Braves are 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 16-10 (.615) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Braves are 31-38 (.449) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Rays are 14-12 (.538) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Rays are just 2-6 (.250) after a loss as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Rays are 34-14 (.708) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Rays are 85-58 (.594) after a win since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .548 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .907 (789 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
Braves hitters are slugging .496 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .345 (2,427 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .466 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Rays hitters have 123 strikeouts in 354 PA’s (35%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .772 (1,678 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 63% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have won 55% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 146 of 2,249 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rays pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Rays pitchers have walked 670 of 9,289 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Cramping, Day-to-Day
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Back, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D15
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D60
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
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