• The Braves are -145 favorites vs the Red Sox
• Braves vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Braves / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | BRVN

The Atlanta Braves (-145) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+120) on May 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Braves are 37-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 22-30 ATS.

Braves vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 7-3, 1.89 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Payton Tolle 2-2, 2.50 ERA

Braves vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Braves vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+14.00 Units / 175% ROI)
• Ha-Seong Kim has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.55 Units / 51% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 56% ROI)
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.90 Units / 30% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
• Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.90 Units / 36% ROI)
• Caleb Durbin has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.50 Units / 34% ROI)
• Caleb Durbin has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.70 Units / 41% ROI)
• Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.70 Units / 29% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 50 away games (+31.65 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 away games (+20.20 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 40 away games (+14.00 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+9.95 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.50 Units / 18% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+14.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+12.95 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+8.45 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games (+4.75 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 games at home (+2.25 Units / 11% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 34-22 against the Run Line (+17.6 Units / 28.09% ROI).

• 37-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.7 Units / 16.26% ROI
• 25-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -7.1% ROI
• 27-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.1 Units / 0.16% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 22-30 against the Run Line (-7.65 Units / -11.59% ROI).

• 23-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.55 Units / -23.12% ROI
• 24-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.95 Units / -11.68% ROI
• 28-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 2.35% ROI

Red Sox vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Braves are 14-4 (.778) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .469.

The Braves are 4-16 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

The Braves are 20-9 (.690) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .475.

The Braves are 29-2 (.935) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Red Sox are just 9-18 (.333) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.

The Red Sox are just 5-17 (.227) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .360.

The Red Sox are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .898.

The Red Sox are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters are slugging .439 against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .450 on the road this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .291 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .391 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

The Red Sox are batting .184 with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .273 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .659 (981 PA’s) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .363 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .211 against Braves pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Braves pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.17 (500.0 IP) this season — 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 0.89 runs per game (48/54) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Red Sox pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Red Sox pitchers with runners on base this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Braves vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.