- The Reds are -140 favorites vs the Braves
- Braves vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Braves / Reds TV Channel: FDOH | FDSO | FDSE | MLBN
The Atlanta Braves (+115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-140) on Friday, August 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 12:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH, OH.
This season, the Braves are 46-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 59-50 ATS.
Braves vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 4-7, 6.34 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Brady Singer 8-8, 4.63 ERA
Braves vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | +1.5 -185 | O 9 +100 | +115 |
| Reds | -1.5 +150 | U 9 -120 | -140 |
Braves vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nick Allen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+11.30 Units / 188% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Bryce Elder has hit the Hits Allowed Over in his last 7 games (+7.45 Units / 101% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+14.10 Units / 70% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.35 Units / 49% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+10.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 79 games (+4.20 Units / 5% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 87 games (+21.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 36 games at home (+7.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+7.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 55 of their last 100 games (+4.75 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+4.25 Units / 43% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 43-63 against the Run Line (-22.02 Units / -17.36% ROI).
- 46-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -41.23 Units / -25.35% ROI
- 48-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.3 Units / -8.6% ROI
- 53-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 0.51% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 59-50 against the Run Line (+1.97 Units / 1.34% ROI).
- 57-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -0.3% ROI
- 42-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.64 Units / -22.96% ROI
- 64-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.95 Units / 14.75% ROI
Reds vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Drake Baldwin (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Reds vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt McLain (CIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jurickson Profar (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Drake Baldwin (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Reds vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Noelvi Marte (CIN) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Drake Baldwin (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Reds vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Elder (ATL) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
| Brady Singer (CIN) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Elder has thrown his fastball in the zone just 46% (359/775) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 58% — 0 Percentile.
Bryce Elder has spotted his fastball inside in the zone just 39% (105/271) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 53% — 0 Percentile.
Bryce Elder has located his fastballs down 52% of the time (401/775) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 99th Percentile.
Bryce Elder has thrown his slider 40% of the time (146/363) when he’s behind in the count this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total SL; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has thrown inside pitches 40% of the time (226/559) with two-strikes this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (41/118) against Brady Singer in two-strike counts this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.
Brady Singer has walked 9% of batters this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 16th Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown inside pitches 40% of the time (226/559) with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Braves are just 35-7 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .911.
The Braves are just 5-10 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are just 34-9 (.791) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .880.
The Braves are just 11-54 (.169) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Reds are just 17-35 (.327) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 9-24 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 9-101 (.082) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .134.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters are slugging .938 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .590.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .870 (1,425 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 46% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Reds batted just .116 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
The Reds are batting just .223 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Reds are batting just .163 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 42% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 45% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have an ERA of 6.89 (115.0 IP) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Batters facing the Reds pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 53% of the time this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
