- The Braves are -130 favorites vs the Reds
- Braves starting pitcher: Jared Shuster
- Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Atlanta Braves (-130) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+110) on Saturday, June 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Braves vs Reds Over/Under is 12.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are ATS.
Braves vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +105 | O 12.5 -110 | -130 |
| Reds | +1.5 -130 | U 12.5 -110 | +110 |
Braves vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 68.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 41 games (+16.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 21 away games (+13.55 Units / 65% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+12.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.15 Units / 64% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 24 games at home (+14.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 45 games (+13.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+12.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 29 games (+12.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+10.30 Units / 27% ROI)
Reds vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Reds vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Reds vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Graham Ashcraft | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
| Jared Shuster | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 74 games (+13.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 65 games (+11.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 17 games (+9.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.50 Units / 39% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 53 games (+19.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 74 games (+15.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+14.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 68 games (+7.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jared Shuster has walked 10 of 46 batters (22%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (10/32) against Jared Shuster’s changeup this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 51% — third Percentile.
Jared Shuster has a strikeout rate of just 13% (23 SO in 175 PAs) this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 22% — second Percentile.
Jared Shuster has not allowed a home run in any of the last 26.2 innings he’s appeared — Jack Flaherty has the longest active streak at 43.2.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 8.22 (73.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 3.95 — 0 Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 8.63 (32.1 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 4.13 — second Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (48/327) against Graham Ashcraft when he’s behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting .320 (99-for-309) against Graham Ashcraft since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .247 — second Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Braves are 14-9 (.609) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Braves are 37-24 (.607) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Braves are 11-5 (.688) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
The Braves are 4-1 (.800) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Reds are 15-6 (.714) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Reds are just 19-45 (.297) after a road loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.
The Reds are just 29-23 (.558) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are just 29-35 (.453) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .645.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .895 (735 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
Braves hitters are slugging .538 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Braves hitters are slugging .481 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Braves hitters are slugging .473 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging 1.000 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .337 (2,168 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 26% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have won 52% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Reds pitchers over the last 30 days (27 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% against Reds pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 889 of 9,192 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Edward Lively (Reds): Pec, D15
- Christian Greene (Reds): Hip, D15
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D15
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D60
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
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