- The Braves are -210 favorites vs the Reds
- Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton
- Reds starting pitcher: Levi Stoudt
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Atlanta Braves (-210) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+175) on Sunday, June 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Braves vs Reds Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are 49-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 48-29 ATS.
Braves vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 -135 | O 11.5 -115 | -210 |
| Reds | +1.5 +110 | U 11.5 -105 | +175 |
Braves vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 76.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 42 games (+17.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 34 of his last 49 games (+15.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 40 games (+13.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 22 away games (+12.55 Units / 57% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt McLain has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.10 Units / 44% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 30 games (+13.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 46 games (+12.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+11.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 29% ROI)
Reds vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Matt Olson | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
Reds vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Reds vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -110 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games (+13.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 76 games (+12.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games (+9.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.90 Units / 29% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 55 games (+20.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 76 games (+17.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+16.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 31 games (+12.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 70 games (+9.60 Units / 13% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 36-40 against the Run Line (-4.3 Units / -4.76% ROI).
- 49-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.2 Units / 5.67% ROI
- 43-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +10 Units / 11.96% ROI
- 30-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.5 Units / -20.92% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 48-29 against the Run Line (+16.75 Units / 17.12% ROI).
- 41-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.85 Units / 15.17% ROI
- 44-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.35 Units / 9.93% ROI
- 33-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.35 Units / -17.98% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 48% of the time (354/733) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 46% of the time (625/1,367) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 96th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 54% of the time (172/316) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 97th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (993/2,194) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ben Lively has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 1 double play in 33 opportunities (3%) this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 11% — fourth Percentile.
Ben Lively has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.185 (32 Total Bases / 27 ABs) when behind in the count over the last 30 days (5 games) — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .612 — third Percentile.
Ben Lively has allowed an OPS of 1.404 (41 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 1.107 — 11th Percentile.
Ben Lively has an ERA of 6.41 (19.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 4.20 — 11th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Braves are 15-9 (.625) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Braves are 38-24 (.613) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are 4-1 (.800) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
The Braves are 11-5 (.688) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Reds are just 9-13 (.409) after a loss as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
The Reds are just 19-45 (.297) after a road loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .451.
The Reds are just 29-24 (.547) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Reds are just 29-35 (.453) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .645.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .899 (739 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
Braves hitters are slugging .542 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Braves hitters are slugging .457 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
The Braves are batting .275 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging .980 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Reds hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 26% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have won 59% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 19% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .304 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Reds pitchers have won 52% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Reds pitchers have walked 892 of 9,236 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Derek Law (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Edward Lively (Reds): Pec, D15
- Christian Greene (Reds): Hip, D15
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Casey Legumina (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D15
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D60
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
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