Braves vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 31

Reds player Tyler Stephenson looking discontented.
(AP Photo/Patrick Semansky)
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  • The Braves are -140 favorites vs the Reds
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The Atlanta Braves (-140) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+115) on May 31, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Braves are 40-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 33-23 ATS.

Braves vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider 3-0, 3.46 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 1-1, 5.58 ERA

Braves vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 +120O 8.5 -105-140
Reds +1.5 -145U 8.5 -115+115

Braves vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Michael Harris II has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+17.20 Units / 215% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+10.80 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.95 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jorge Mateo has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+9.10 Units / 91% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+20.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+15.25 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Spencer Steer has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 50 away games (+31.35 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 40 away games (+21.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 40 away games (+18.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 away games (+12.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 away games (+10.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+4.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+3.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+3.15 Units / 5% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 37-22 against the Run Line (+21.35 Units / 32.52% ROI).

  • 40-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.7 Units / 19.12% ROI
  • 27-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.5 Units / -5.36% ROI
  • 28-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -1.63% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 33-23 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 4.19% ROI).

  • 29-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.85% ROI
  • 35-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.65 Units / 18.48% ROI
  • 21-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.4 Units / -27.91% ROI

Reds vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Matt Olson +250
Austin Riley +270
Ozzie Albies +280
Ronald Acuna Jr. +300
JJ Bleday +310

Reds vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ronald Acuna Jr. 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Matt Olson 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Austin Riley 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Michael Harris II 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Reds vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
JJ Bleday 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Jorge Mateo 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Spencer Steer 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Eli White 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Sandy Leon 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Braves are 4-16 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .107.

The Braves are 23-9 (.719) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Braves are 40-19 (.678) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 22-3 (.880) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Reds are just 2-9 (.182) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Braves (fourth in runs allowed).

The Reds are 3-25 (.107) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Reds are 24-5 (.828) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Reds are just 12-73 (.141) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

Braves hitters are slugging .449 against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .460 on the road this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .781 (1,424 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .260 this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .216 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .201 with two outs this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Reds are batting just .201 against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Braves pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.13 (527.0 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .213 against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 2.77 (247.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.