- The Braves are -275 favorites vs the Rockies
- Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton
- Rockies starting pitcher: Peter Lambert
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Atlanta Braves (-275) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+220) on Tuesday, August 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Braves vs Rockies Over/Under is 12 total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are 85-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 63-66 ATS.
Braves vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -2.5 -115 | O 12 -105 | -275 |
| Rockies | +2.5 -105 | U 12 -115 | +220 |
Braves vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 86.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 44 games (+18.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+15.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+12.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+10.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+14.40 Units / 72% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+12.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+10.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
Rockies vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Michael Toglia | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Rockies vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Michael Toglia | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Elias Diaz | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Rockies vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Michael Toglia | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Rockies vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Peter Lambert | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -135 |
| Charlie Morton | 7.5 +135 | 7.5 -175 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 72 games (+18.29 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 76 of their last 130 games (+17.24 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 80 of their last 130 games (+17.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 73 games (+11.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+5.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 40 games (+16.53 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 56 games at home (+13.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+12.32 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 70% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 67-63 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 0.43% ROI).
- 85-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.1 Units / 4.01% ROI
- 69-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.05 Units / 4.25% ROI
- 57-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.8 Units / -13.3% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 63-66 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -3.41% ROI).
- 48-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -11.42% ROI
- 57-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.9 Units / -14.03% ROI
- 70-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.35 Units / 5.97% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (396/1,221) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (1,198/2,651) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (2,169/5,332) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (668/1,734) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 97th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Peter Lambert has not walked any of the 20 batters that he has faced vs left-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Peter Lambert has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to August 7th — the longest active streak is 8.
Peter Lambert has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (111/207) of opposing batters this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 17% (68/402) against Peter Lambert in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Braves are 42-32 (.568) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Braves are 20-21 (.488) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Braves are 22-35 (.386) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .217.
The Braves are 10-37 (.213) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Rockies are just 33-17 (.660) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Rockies are just 37-11 (.771) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Rockies are just 77-41 (.653) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Rockies are just 12-10 (.545) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .534 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Braves hitters are slugging .500 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Braves hitters are slugging .559 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .387 (582 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .289 (1,406 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have won just 49% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.1 feet since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 22% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Braves pitchers have walked 15 of 107 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Colorado Rockies – No Injuries Reported
- Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
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