Braves vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 05, 2022, 10:07 AM
  • The Braves (27-27) are -155 favorites vs the Rockies (23-30)
  • Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton (3-3), 5.47 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner (1-1), 3.70 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet RM

The Atlanta Braves (-155) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+125) on Sunday, June 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.

The Braves are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Braves vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Braves are 27-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 23-30 ATS.

Braves vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 -105O 11.5 -105-155
Rockies +1.5 -115U 11.5 -115+125

Braves vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s matchup with 66.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+13.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 40 games (+12.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 42 games (+11.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+9.35 Units / 17% ROI)

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Connor Joe has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.65 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+5.55 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Ryan McMahon has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.40 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Connor Joe has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.10 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1H Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.62 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games (+7.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.35 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1H Total Under in 24 of their last 42 games (+6.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+3.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1H Total Over in 23 of their last 42 games (+4.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1H Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.16 Units / 22% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 27-27 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -2.34% ROI).

  • 27-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.7 Units / -11.42% ROI
  • 29-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.15 Units / 8.63% ROI
  • 22-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.65 Units / -16.29% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 23-30 against the Run Line (-12.85 Units / -18.73% ROI).

  • 23-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -9.33% ROI
  • 29-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.55 Units / 6.07% ROI
  • 23-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -15.52% ROI

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (16/66) against Charlie Morton this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .394 (13-for-33) against Charlie Morton on inside fastballs this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .259 — sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (50/147) against Charlie Morton this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (796/1,870) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Ryan Feltner: Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of 74% (14/19) against Ryan Feltner in his last start — 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Ryan Feltner had a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (13/26) in his last start — tied for 8th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 62% — 15th Percentile.

The hardest ball hit off of Ryan Feltner in his last two starts was 114.7 MPH — 4th hardest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 109.4

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

No Matchup notes for this Game

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

No Matchup notes for this Game

Braves hitters have 192 extra-base hits out of 443 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Braves hitters are slugging .456 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .386.

Braves hitters have 64 extra-base hits out of 134 total hits (48%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Braves hitters are slugging .536 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .450.

The Rockies are batting .294 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of .360 (541 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Rockies hitters have an OBP of .366 (931 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Rockies hitters have pulled just 40% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

Braves pitchers have walked 47 of 484 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Braves pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 48% of their games this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .174 against Braves pitchers with the shift this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .211.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 452.8

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Rockies vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Back, D10
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Matzek (Braves): Shoulder, D15
  • Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Eddie Rosario (Braves): Eye, D10
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Undisclosed, D60
  • Randy Jackson (Braves): Lat, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.