- The Braves are -130 favorites vs the Royals
- Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Atlanta Braves (-130) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+110) on Friday, April 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Braves vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are 9-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 4-9 ATS.
Braves vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +120 | O 9 +100 | -130 |
| Royals | +1.5 -145 | U 9 -120 | +110 |
Braves vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 64.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.10 Units / 67% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+5.60 Units / 65% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.25 Units / 88% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 34% ROI)
Royals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 +1300 | 0.5 |
| Salvador Perez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Edward Olivares | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Royals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Salvador Perez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Edward Olivares | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Royals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Salvador Perez | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Edward Olivares | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
Royals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Charlie Morton | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.30 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.75 Units / 39% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.45 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+1.45 Units / 24% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 5-8 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -19.87% ROI).
- 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 16.52% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.3 Units / 2.12% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -13.49% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 4-9 against the Run Line (-6.7 Units / -40.85% ROI).
- 4-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -25.77% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 2.45% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -12.24% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton walked 63 of 728 batters (9%) in 2022 — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — eighth Percentile.
Charlie Morton has walked 68 of 780 batters (9%) since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — sixth Percentile.
Charlie Morton had a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% (427/732) in 2022 — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents had a swing rate of just 39% (800/2,039) against Charlie Morton in non-two strike counts in 2022 — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 71% (12/17) against Brady Singer on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.
Brady Singer has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to September 17th, 2022 — tied with Jacob deGrom for the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 79% (15/19) against Brady Singer vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 61% of Brady Singer’s pitches in the zone (1,533/2,531) since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Braves are 22-16 (.579) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Braves were 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 12-3 (.800) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves were 21-15 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Royals are just 4-44 (.083) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Royals were just 4-41 (.089) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Royals were just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Royals are just 23-88 (.207) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OBP of .411 (129 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .332.
The Braves are batting .336 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Braves hitters slugged .486 on pitches 95 mph or greater in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .384.
Braves hitters slugged .443 against RHP in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .269 (466 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Royals hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .604 (466 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Royals are batting just .204 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers in 2022 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Raisel Iglesias (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Michael Harris II (Braves): Back, D10
- Orlando Arcia (Braves): Wrist, D10
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Max Fried (Braves): Left Hamstring, D15
- Collin McHugh (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Travis d’Arnaud (Braves): Concussion, D7
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
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