- The Royals are -125 favorites vs the Braves
- Braves vs Royals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Braves / Royals TV Channel: FDSO | FDSE | FDKC
The Atlanta Braves (+105) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-125) on Wednesday, July 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Braves are 45-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 56-52 ATS.
Braves vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Joey Wentz 2-2, 5.76 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Angel Zerpa 3-1, 4.16 ERA
Braves vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | +1.5 -210 | O 9.5 -115 | +105 |
| Royals | -1.5 +160 | U 9.5 -105 | -125 |
Braves vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+13.30 Units / 333% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+9.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.55 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+12.50 Units / 250% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+9.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+7.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+6.50 Units / 19% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+10.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 77 games (+4.20 Units / 5% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 71 of their last 108 games (+31.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 60 of their last 100 games (+17.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games at home (+12.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 84 games (+6.25 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.65 Units / 21% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 42-63 against the Run Line (-23.02 Units / -18.57% ROI).
- 45-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -41.63 Units / -25.92% ROI
- 47-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.3 Units / -8.75% ROI
- 52-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 0.61% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 56-52 against the Run Line (-6.7 Units / -4.45% ROI).
- 53-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -1.93% ROI
- 44-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.37 Units / -20.69% ROI
- 63-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.5 Units / 12.1% ROI
Royals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Royals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jurickson Profar (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Royals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Royals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Angel Zerpa (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Joey Wentz (ATL) | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -110 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .364 (16-for-44) against Joey Wentz’s elevated fastball since last season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: .204 — first Percentile.
Joey Wentz has an ERA of 6.68 (63.1 IP) since last season — tied for highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 3.64 — second Percentile.
Opponents batting at the bottom of the order are hitting .335 (52-for-155) against Joey Wentz since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .221 — first Percentile.
Joey Wentz has a in-zone of just 48% (131/275) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 58% — second Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 84% (42/50) against Angel Zerpa this season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 84% (42/50) against Angel Zerpa this season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (80/115) against Angel Zerpa in two-strike counts since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 73% (87/119) against Angel Zerpa since last season — highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Braves are just 11-22 (.333) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Royals (Ranks 29th runs scored) today.
The Braves are just 4-29 (.121) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Braves are just 35-7 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .911.
The Braves are just 15-27 (.357) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Royals (Ranks second runs allowed) today.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are 17-3 (.850) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Royals are just 2-44 (.043) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Royals are 30-16 (.652) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Braves (Ranks 22nd runs scored) today.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging 1.000 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .600.
The Braves are just 5-19 (-58.8% ROI) when underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Braves hitters slugged .495 against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .837 (4,824 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .872 (738 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.068.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .302 (3,069 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 42% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 45% of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 45% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 13% of batters over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Royals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH this month (22 games) (560 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.3
The Royals have allowed 3.71 runs per game (497/134) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Royals pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
More MLB Reading:
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