- The Braves are -275 favorites vs the Tigers
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Atlanta Braves (-275) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+220) on Tuesday, June 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Braves vs Tigers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Braves are 40-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 33-31 ATS.
Braves vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -2.5 +105 | O 7.5 -105 | -275 |
| Tigers | +2.5 -125 | U 7.5 -115 | +220 |
Braves vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 86.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+15.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 32 games (+15.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 47 games (+15.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 11 away games (+11.40 Units / 63% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+10.75 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+18.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+15.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+11.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+10.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)
Tigers vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -500 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Tigers vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Tigers vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Michael Harris | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Strider | 9.5 +110 | 9.5 -145 |
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 57 games (+10.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 31 away games (+9.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 31 away games (+4.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.50 Units / 18% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 28 games at home (+7.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 54 games (+4.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 35% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 29-37 against the Run Line (-8.4 Units / -10.79% ROI).
- 40-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.32% ROI
- 36-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.4 Units / 8.87% ROI
- 27-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.15 Units / -17.99% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 33-31 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -3.73% ROI).
- 27-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 1.67% ROI
- 33-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -0.35% ROI
- 30-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -8.21% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 40% (121 SO in 300 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 46% (145/319) against Spencer Strider this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (270/686) against Spencer Strider this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 45% (33 SO in 73 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reese Olson has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.0 innings pitched — Jovani Moran has the longest active streak at 18.2.
Reese Olson has allowed an OPS of just .327 (38 PA’s) over the last 30 days (2 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .728 — 100th Percentile.
Reese Olson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .143 (5 Total Bases / 35 ABs) over the last 30 days (2 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .415 — 100th Percentile.
Reese Olson has allowed an OBP of just .184 (38 PA’s) over the last 30 days (2 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .313 — 100th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Braves are 4-1 (.800) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
The Braves are 33-23 (.589) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are 20-11 (.645) on the road this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Braves are 9-5 (.643) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Tigers are just 10-42 (.192) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Tigers are just 49-83 (.371) after a loss since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Tigers are just 50-62 (.446) at home since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Tigers are just 90-116 (.437) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .546 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .901 (653 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .816 (2,291 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Braves have scored first in 73% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .618 (6,299 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .709.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .284 (6,299 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .638 (8,295 PA’s) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .347 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 16% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 184 of 2,412 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 63% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Left fibula, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Finger, D10
- Akil Baddoo (Tigers): Quad, D10
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Marcell Ozuna (Braves): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D60
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
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