Braves vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 17

Minnesota Twins' Byron Buxton celebrates towards the dugout after hitting a single that scores two runs against the Athletics during the sixth inning of a baseball game Tuesday, June 3, 2025, in West Sacramento, Calif.
(AP Photo/Scott Marshall)
Sportsbook Promos
  • The Braves are -135 favorites vs the Twins
  • Braves vs Twins Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Braves / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | BRVN

The Atlanta Braves (-135) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+110) on August 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Braves are against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are ATS.

Braves vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Braves starting pitcher: Martin Perez 8-6, 2.97 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 7-4, 4.64 ERA

Braves vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 +125O 9 -102-135
Twins +1.5 -155U 9 -118+110

Braves vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+11.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+10.75 Units / 108% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 away games (+10.30 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ryan Jeffers has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Luke Keaschall has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Brooks Lee has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+11.50 Units / 164% ROI)
  • Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Byron Buxton has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.85 Units / 100% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 25 away games (+12.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+10.50 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+9.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+3.80 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 23 games (+3.05 Units / 10% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Twins vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Matt Olson +230
Byron Buxton +270
Ronald Acuna Jr. +300
Drake Baldwin +325
Michael Harris II +375

Twins vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Olson 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Austin Martin 0.5 -235 0.5 +160
Ryan Jeffers 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Royce Lewis 0.5 -220 0.5 +145
Ozzie Albies 0.5 -220 0.5 +145

Twins vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Olson 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Ronald Acuna Jr. 0.5 -220 0.5 +150
Byron Buxton 0.5 -220 0.5 +150
Royce Lewis 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Kaelen Culpepper 0.5 -185 0.5 +125

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves were 73-4 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Braves were just 7-42 (.143) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The Braves were 10-67 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Twins are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Twins are just 4-7 (.364) this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Twins are just 4-7 (.364) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .299 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

The Braves have a winning percentage of 65% at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .356 on PA’s that last 5+ pitches this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .289 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have 72 extra-base hits out of 156 total hits (46%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .220 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging .432 in righty-righty matchups this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Braves have won 48% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 37% of their games this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 240 times this season — 5th fewest in MLB.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 7% of innings played this season — 4th highest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 5.40 runs per game (335/62) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.