• The Braves are -135 favorites vs the Twins
• Braves vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Braves / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | BRVN | KMSP

The Atlanta Braves (-135) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+110) on August 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Braves are 74-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 68-57 ATS.

Braves vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle 4-9, 4.69 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Zebby Matthews 6-8, 5.40 ERA

Braves vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.20 Units / 37% ROI)
• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+12.30 Units / 39% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+11.85 Units / 38% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.70 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ryan Jeffers has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.85 Units / 30% ROI)
• Brooks Lee has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+10.50 Units / 131% ROI)
• Byron Buxton has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 60% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 60% ROI)
• Royce Lewis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 37% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 30 away games (+13.75 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.35 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.75 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+9.50 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+8.70 Units / 28% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.10 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.35 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+4.05 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+3.80 Units / 6% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 65-59 against the Run Line (+14.45 Units / 10.13% ROI).

• 74-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 4.85% ROI
• 58-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.15 Units / -6.6% ROI
• 61-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -1.28% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 68-57 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -1.6% ROI).

• 61-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -1.77% ROI
• 66-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.05 Units / 5.78% ROI
• 52-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.75 Units / -15.04% ROI

Twins vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Braves were just 21-74 (.221) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

The Braves were 73-4 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves were just 7-42 (.143) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Twins are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Twins are just 4-7 (.364) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are just 4-7 (.364) this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Twins are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters are slugging .299 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — tied for best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .550 (2,475 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OBP of just .305 (1,663 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins are batting just .291 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .220 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have 72 extra-base hits out of 159 total hits (45%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Twins hitters have a 50% QAB rate with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

The Braves have won 43% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.64 (1112.0 IP) this season — 5th best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.71 (522.0 IP) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .230 against Braves pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 5.40 runs per game (335/62) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have an ERA of 5.07 (534.0 IP) on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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