Braves vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 19

Minnesota Twins third baseman Royce Lewis runs off the field after throwing out Houston Astros' Jeremy Pena at first during the seventh inning of Game 4 of a baseball AL Division Series, Wednesday, Oct. 11, 2023, in Minneapolis.
(AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)
Sportsbook Promos
  • The Braves are -115 favorites vs the Twins
  • Braves vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Braves / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | BRVN

The Atlanta Braves (-115) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-105) on August 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Braves are 74-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 69-57 ATS.

Braves vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Braves starting pitcher: AJ Smith-Shawver 0-0, 4.16 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 9-5, 3.98 ERA

Braves vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 +140O 8.5 -102-115
Twins +1.5 -170U 8.5 -118-105

Braves vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+13.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Michael Harris has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ryan Jeffers has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Brooks Lee has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+9.50 Units / 106% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+7.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 30 away games (+15.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+9.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+3.80 Units / 6% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 65-60 against the Run Line (+13.45 Units / 9.36% ROI).

  • 74-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.8 Units / 3.94% ROI
  • 58-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -7.33% ROI
  • 62-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -0.55% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 69-57 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -1.03% ROI).

  • 62-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -0.88% ROI
  • 66-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.95 Units / 4.95% ROI
  • 53-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.75 Units / -14.2% ROI

Twins vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Byron Buxton +250
Matt Olson +280
Ronald Acuna Jr. +360
Kody Clemens +400
Drake Baldwin +425

Twins vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ronald Acuna Jr. 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Michael Harris II 0.5 -235 0.5 +160
Byron Buxton 0.5 -220 0.5 +150
Matt Olson 0.5 -210 0.5 +140

Twins vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Harris II 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Royce Lewis 0.5 -235 0.5 +160
Mike Yastrzemski 0.5 -220 0.5 +150
Kaelen Culpepper 0.5 -220 0.5 +150

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves were 73-4 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

The Braves were just 7-42 (.143) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The Braves were 10-67 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Twins are just 4-7 (.364) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Twins are just 4-7 (.364) this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Twins are just 4-7 (.364) since the 2025 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .299 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

The Braves have a winning percentage of 65% at home this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .356 on PA’s that last 5+ pitches this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .370 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .294 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have 73 extra-base hits out of 163 total hits (45%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Twins hitters have a 51% QAB rate with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.72 (530.0 IP) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 1.13 runs per game (143/126) in late innings this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

The Braves have won 42% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 3.89 runs per game (490/126) this season — 5th best in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have an ERA of 4.62 (1122.1 IP) this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 5.40 runs per game (335/62) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have an ERA of 5.07 (534.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.