Braves vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 11

Chicago White Sox' Kyle Teel, right, is greeted by Lenyn Sosa after he scored on a double by Brooks Baldwin during the first inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals, Friday, Sept. 26, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/Nick Wass)
(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
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  • The Braves are -118 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Braves vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Braves / White Sox TV Channel: CHSN | BRVN

The Atlanta Braves (-118) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-102) on June 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Braves are 45-23 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 38-28 ATS.

Braves vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Braves starting pitcher: Martin Perez 4-3, 3.02 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 1-5, 4.72 ERA

Braves vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves-1.5 +135O 8.5 -105-118
White Sox +1.5 -165U 8.5 -115-102

Braves vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Austin Riley has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+9.20 Units / 102% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.15 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jacob Gonzalez has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+2.60 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Jacob Gonzalez has hit the Total Bases Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Jacob Gonzalez has hit the Singles Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jacob Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Jacob Gonzalez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 5 of his last 8 games (+1.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 50 away games (+27.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 away games (+15.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 45 away games (+14.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 away games (+12.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+11.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 30 games (+18.20 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 21 games at home (+16.15 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+11.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+9.05 Units / 28% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 40-27 against the Run Line (+20.05 Units / 26.63% ROI).

  • 45-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.95 Units / 14.61% ROI
  • 33-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -1.13% ROI
  • 31-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -6.2% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 38-28 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -0.61% ROI).

  • 36-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.35 Units / 14.65% ROI
  • 39-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.5 Units / 14.3% ROI
  • 26-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.1 Units / -23.12% ROI

White Sox vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Matt Olson +300
Ozzie Albies +350
Miguel Vargas +360
Austin Riley +360
Michael Harris II +375

White Sox vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Harris II 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Chase Meidroth 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Matt Olson 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Braden Montgomery 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

White Sox vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Braden Montgomery 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Austin Riley 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Derek Hill 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Matt Olson 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jacob Gonzalez 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Braves are 5-1 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 17-5 (.773) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Braves are 6-0 (1.000) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 22-2 (.917) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .751.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The White Sox are 7-24 (.226) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .146.

The White Sox are 22-11 (.667) at home this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The White Sox are 3-26 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .058.

The White Sox are just 104-41 (.717) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .864.

Braves hitters are slugging .453 on the road this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .785 (1,389 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .302 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of .739 (2,560 PA’s) this season — 5th best in MLB.

White Sox hitters are slugging .644 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The White Sox are batting just .136 on pitches out of the zone this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

White Sox hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .218 against Braves pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 0.85 runs per game (58/68) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 3.18 runs per game (105/33) at home this season — best in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.30 (288.2 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.32 (306.0 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 2.90 (152.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.