• The Yankees are -155 favorites vs the Braves
• Braves vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Braves / Yankees TV Channel: BRVN | YES

The Atlanta Braves (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-155) on August 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Braves are 70-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 54-60 ATS.

Braves vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

• Braves starting pitcher: Martin Perez 7-6, 3.15 ERA
• Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 4-3, 3.16 ERA

Braves vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Braves vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Braves vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

• Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+16.40 Units / 34% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+14.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games (+13.60 Units / 151% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+12.90 Units / 52% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.65 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Spencer Jones has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+13.20 Units / 165% ROI)
• Ben Rice has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+11.40 Units / 69% ROI)
• Austin Wells has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• Spencer Jones has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 54% ROI)
• Jazz Chisholm has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.00 Units / 19% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 24 away games (+11.75 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+11.45 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.70 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.40 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in their last 6 games (+8.15 Units / 136% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 30 games at home (+17.35 Units / 48% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+11.35 Units / 57% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 46% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 23 games (+3.30 Units / 12% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 60-54 against the Run Line (+13.1 Units / 9.98% ROI).

• 70-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.7 Units / 8.09% ROI
• 54-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -5.1% ROI
• 55-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -2.75% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 54-60 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -1.5% ROI).

• 64-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -5% ROI
• 49-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.65 Units / -15.47% ROI
• 62-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.25 Units / 6.54% ROI

Yankees vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves were just 21-74 (.221) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

The Braves were 10-67 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Braves were just 7-42 (.143) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Yankees were 76-4 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Yankees were just 4-55 (.068) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Yankees were 94-68 (.580) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Braves Hitting Stats & Trends

Braves hitters are slugging .301 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — tied for best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .429 against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .440 at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends

Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .227 (2,357 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 205 extra-base hits out of 476 total hits (43%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 347 extra-base hits out of 881 total hits (39%) this season — tied for best in MLB.

Braves Pitching Stats & Trends

The Braves have won 50% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

The Braves have won 46% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 5% of innings played this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (554.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 3.41 runs per game (215/63) on the road this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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