Braves vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 9

New York Yankees' Austin Wells reacts after hitting a three-run home run during the seventh inning of a baseball game against the Kansas City Royals at Yankee Stadium Monday, Sept. 9, 2024, in New York.
AP Photo/Seth Wenig
Parlay Boost Today
  • The Yankees are -145 favorites vs the Braves
  • Braves vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Braves / Yankees TV Channel: BRVN | YES

The Atlanta Braves (+120) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-145) on August 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Braves are 70-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 55-61 ATS.

Braves vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 7-4, 3.67 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Cam Schlittler 10-6, 2.26 ERA

Braves vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves+1.5 -170O 8.5 -110+120
Yankees -1.5 +140U 8.5 -110-145

Braves vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Michael Harris II has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+14.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+14.40 Units / 180% ROI)
  • Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+10.40 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • George Lombard Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+14.00 Units / 350% ROI)
  • Cam Schlittler has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Jazz Chisholm has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 25 away games (+12.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+10.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+8.15 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+11.05 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+4.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 61-55 against the Run Line (+13.1 Units / 9.77% ROI).

  • 70-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.2 Units / 6.4% ROI
  • 55-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -5.09% ROI
  • 56-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -2.78% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 55-61 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -1.47% ROI).

  • 66-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -3.63% ROI
  • 50-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.75 Units / -15.29% ROI
  • 63-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.15 Units / 6.35% ROI

Yankees vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Ben Rice +220
Matt Olson +240
Luis Garcia Jr. +280
Trent Grisham +300
Drake Baldwin +310

Yankees vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Garcia Jr. 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Michael Harris II 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Heliot Ramos 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Drake Baldwin 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Ronald Acuna Jr. 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Yankees vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan McMahon 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Mike Yastrzemski 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
George Lombard Jr. 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ben Rice 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ozzie Albies 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Braves were 10-67 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Braves were just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Braves were just 7-42 (.143) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The Braves were just 21-74 (.221) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Yankees were 76-4 (.950) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Yankees were 94-68 (.580) in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees were 81-21 (.794) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .556 (2,337 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .355 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .301 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have been successful in 100% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — tied for best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 210 extra-base hits out of 484 total hits (43%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .227 (2,407 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Yankees are batting just .128 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Yankees hitters have 130 extra-base hits out of 327 total hits (40%) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Braves have won 45% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.63 (1040.0 IP) this season — 5th best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.75 (504.0 IP) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Braves have still managed to win 32% of the time this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (554.2 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Yankees have allowed 3.41 runs per game (215/63) on the road this season — best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.