Brewers vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 29

Houston Astros shortstop Jeremy Pena pops out during the first inning of a spring training baseball game against the New York Mets Thursday, Feb. 27, 2025, in Port St. Lucie, Fla.
(AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
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  • The Brewers are -120 favorites vs the Astros
  • Brewers vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Brewers / Astros TV Channel: BRTV | SCHN

The Milwaukee Brewers (-120) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (+100) on May 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the Brewers are 33-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 26-32 ATS.

Brewers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Coleman Crow 0-0, 2.62 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Kai-Wei Teng 3-3, 2.21 ERA

Brewers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 +135O 8.5 -115-120
Astros +1.5 -165U 8.5 -105+100

Brewers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake Bauers has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jake Bauers has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+12.20 Units / 136% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Cam Smith has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+16.20 Units / 108% ROI)
  • Cam Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+14.75 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Cam Smith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+14.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+13.00 Units / 325% ROI)
  • Cam Smith has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.30 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+11.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games (+10.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+8.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+9.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.75 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 95% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+5.45 Units / 41% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 32-21 against the Run Line (+15.1 Units / 23.76% ROI).

  • 33-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.1 Units / 10.11% ROI
  • 23-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.75 Units / -15% ROI
  • 29-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 6.59% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 26-32 against the Run Line (-12.05 Units / -15.34% ROI).

  • 26-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -9.9% ROI
  • 31-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.85 Units / 7.43% ROI
  • 23-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.7 Units / -17.15% ROI

Astros vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Yordan Alvarez +240
Christian Walker +310
Isaac Paredes +425
Jake Bauers +425
Jackson Chourio +450

Astros vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jeremy Pena 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jackson Chourio 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Christian Yelich 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
William Contreras 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Brice Turang 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Astros vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jackson Chourio 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Brice Turang 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Christian Walker 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
David Hamilton 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Coleman Crow 3.5 -165 3.5 +125

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The Brewers are 5-13 (.278) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Brewers are 22-10 (.688) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Brewers are 29-5 (.853) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Brewers are 14-9 (.609) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .477.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Astros are just 1-17 (.056) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Astros are just 0-28 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .135.

The Astros are just 0-30 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Astros are just 0-29 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

Brewers hitters have a groundball rate of 51% this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 609 of their 2,037 plate appearances (30%) this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .340 (1,385 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Astros hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Astros hitters are slugging .450 with bases empty this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OPS of .732 (2,194 PA’s) this season — 5th best in MLB.

Astros hitters are slugging .424 on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Brewers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.