- The Brewers are -115 favorites vs the Astros
- Brewers vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Brewers / Astros TV Channel: BRTV | SCHN
The Milwaukee Brewers (-115) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-105) on May 30, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Houston, TX.
This season, the Brewers are 34-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 27-32 ATS.
Brewers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Sproat 1-3, 5.81 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Peter Lambert 3-4, 3.83 ERA
Brewers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -102 | -115 |
| Astros | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -118 | -105 |
Brewers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+11.20 Units / 112% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jake Bauers has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cam Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+14.00 Units / 350% ROI)
- Cam Smith has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+13.85 Units / 92% ROI)
- Cam Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Cam Smith has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.30 Units / 53% ROI)
- Cam Smith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.45 Units / 57% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+11.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+8.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.35 Units / 31% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 8 games (+8.35 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+6.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 32-22 against the Run Line (+14.1 Units / 21.84% ROI).
- 34-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.1 Units / 11.31% ROI
- 24-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -13.04% ROI
- 29-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.75 Units / 4.62% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 27-32 against the Run Line (-11.05 Units / -13.82% ROI).
- 26-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -11.23% ROI
- 32-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.85 Units / 8.82% ROI
- 23-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.8 Units / -18.58% ROI
Astros vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | +260 |
| Christian Walker | +340 |
| Jake Bauers | +425 |
| Isaac Paredes | +450 |
| Jeremy Pena | +550 |
Astros vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Sal Frelick | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Luis Rengifo | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Astros vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jackson Chourio | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| David Hamilton | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jeremy Pena | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Braden Shewmake | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Brewers are 6-13 (.316) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .105.
The Brewers are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Brewers are 34-20 (.630) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 15-9 (.625) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .475.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Astros are just 0-30 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.
The Astros are just 1-17 (.056) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Astros are just 0-28 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Astros are just 0-29 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are 6-13 (.316) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .105.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .318 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .631 (664 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .382 (616 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters are slugging .436 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.
The Astros are batting .261 on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Astros are batting just .223 at home this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .332 (1,242 PA’s) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.00 (273.0 IP) at home this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
Astros pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Astros pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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