- The Blue Jays are -150 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Adrian Houser
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
- Watch the game on SN1
The Milwaukee Brewers (+125) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-150) on Tuesday, May 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Brewers vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 28-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 26-28 ATS.
Brewers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -150 | O 9 -115 | +125 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -105 | -150 |
Brewers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 71.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+11.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+10.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- Joey Wiemer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+10.25 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+14.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+11.45 Units / 88% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 49% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Blue Jays vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Adrian Houser | 3.5 +130 | 3.5 -165 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+6.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 47 games (+3.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 52 games (+2.20 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.35 Units / 25% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 50 games (+0.30 Units / 0% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 25-28 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -6.17% ROI).
- 28-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 1.2% ROI
- 24-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.4 Units / -12.59% ROI
- 28-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.5 Units / 2.59% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 26-28 against the Run Line (-4.6 Units / -6.76% ROI).
- 28-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -8.87% ROI
- 27-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.26% ROI
- 25-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -8.32% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (20/32) against Adrian Houser — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (20/32) against Adrian Houser over the last 14 days (2 games) — 2nd highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Adrian Houser has allowed an OPS of just .375 (41 PA’s) — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .703 — 98th Percentile.
Adrian Houser has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 12 innings — the longest active streak is 13.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .782 (197 Total Bases / 252 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: .556 — 0 Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (83 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Yusei Kikuchi has walked 62 of 537 right-handed batters (12%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.4 MPH (156 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 89.0 — third Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Brewers are 24-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Brewers are just 11-47 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Brewers are just 0-25 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Brewers are 21-13 (.618) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Blue Jays are 3-21 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Blue Jays are 46-69 (.400) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Blue Jays are just 4-12 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.
The Blue Jays are 88-7 (.926) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .878.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 151 strikeouts in 497 PA’s (30%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .615 (497 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .749.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .336 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Brewers are batting just .231 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .266 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Blue Jays hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 102 total hits (just 26%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 327 strikeouts in 1,692 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .257 with two outs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have walked 1 of 105 batters (1%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 30 of 467 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Groin, D10
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Blue Jays): Back, Day-to-Day
- Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Wade Miley (Brewers): Lat Strain, D15
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Willy Adames (Brewers): Head, D7
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Bukauskas (Brewers): Spine, D15
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Owen Miller (Brewers): Forearm, Day-to-Day
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