- The Blue Jays are -165 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Julio Teheran
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Milwaukee Brewers (+140) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-165) on Wednesday, May 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Brewers vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 28-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 27-28 ATS.
Brewers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -145 | O 10 -115 | +140 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +120 | U 10 -105 | -165 |
Brewers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 79.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Wiemer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+10.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 40 games (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+10.55 Units / 62% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 22 games at home (+15.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.30 Units / 56% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+11.45 Units / 88% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+11.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.15 Units / 39% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Whit Merrifield | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
Blue Jays vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Whit Merrifield | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -210 |
Blue Jays vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Whit Merrifield | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
Blue Jays vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Manoah | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
| Julio Teheran | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+7.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 48 games (+3.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 53 games (+1.20 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 51 games (+1.55 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.00 Units / 16% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 25-29 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -8.22% ROI).
- 28-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.3% ROI
- 24-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.4 Units / -12.33% ROI
- 28-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.5 Units / 2.55% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 27-28 against the Run Line (-3.35 Units / -4.86% ROI).
- 29-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -7.44% ROI
- 27-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.25% ROI
- 25-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -8.18% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Julio Teheran has limited playing time.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alek Manoah has allowed a slugging percentage of .654 (34 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — first Percentile.
Alek Manoah has walked 38 of 255 batters (15%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of .396 (255 PA’s) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 — first Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of .370 (108 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — second Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Brewers are 20-2 (.909) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Brewers are just 0-26 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Brewers are 24-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Brewers are 21-1 (.955) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .867.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Blue Jays are 3-21 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Blue Jays are just 17-8 (.680) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Blue Jays are just 5-12 (.294) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.
The Blue Jays are 12-4 (.750) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .583.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 155 strikeouts in 520 PA’s (30%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Brewers are batting just .218 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters have 595 strikeouts in 2,231 PA’s (27%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .335 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 103 total hits (just 25%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Blue Jays are batting .261 with two outs since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
The Blue Jays are batting .376 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Blue Jays hitters have just 78 strikeouts in 442 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 2 of 104 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 12 of 235 batters (5%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 8 of 51 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.15 (214.0 IP) at home this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.
The Blue Jays have won 50% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Blue Jays vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Groin, D10
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Wade Miley (Brewers): Lat Strain, D15
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Willy Adames (Brewers): Head, D7
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob Bukauskas (Brewers): Spine, D15
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Neck, D10
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