Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 12

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 12, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Cardinals (61-50) are -160 favorites vs the Brewers (60-50)
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Eric Lauer (8-3), 3.59 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery (4-3), 3.53 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSMW

The Milwaukee Brewers (+135) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-160) on Friday, August 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Brewers vs Cardinals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Brewers are 60-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 61-50 ATS.

Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers+1.5 -150O 7.5 -105+135
Cardinals -1.5 +125U 7.5 -115-160

Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s matchup with 58.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.35 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 48 games (+10.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+10.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Kolten Wong has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.30 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 38 games at home (+12.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 38 games at home (+11.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Dylan Carlson has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 43 games (+10.60 Units / 12% ROI)

Cardinals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Paul DeJong 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Cardinals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Dylan Carlson 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Paul DeJong 0.5 -150 0.5 +105

Cardinals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +105 0.5 -150
Paul DeJong 0.5 +180 0.5 -275

Cardinals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eric Lauer 4.5 -115 4.5 -125
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 53 of their last 90 games (+18.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 90 games (+9.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 49 games (+8.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+13.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 48 of their last 88 games (+8.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+8.35 Units / 18% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 46-64 against the Run Line (-22.9 Units / -17.15% ROI).

  • 60-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -17 Units / -9.58% ROI
  • 55-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 1.23% ROI
  • 49-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.7 Units / -8.82% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 61-50 against the Run Line (+8.05 Units / 5.75% ROI).

  • 61-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 3.08% ROI
  • 52-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.3 Units / -7.57% ROI
  • 55-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -2 Units / -1.64% ROI

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (87/274) against Eric Lauer this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (107/315) against Eric Lauer this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.

Eric Lauer has a strikeout rate of 35% (36 SO in 103 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 88th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .280 (14-for-50) against Eric Lauer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — 84th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jordan Montgomery has attempted to pick off a runner at second base 8 timesthis season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has a strike rate of just 60% (327/541) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — third Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has allowed a slugging percentage of .483 (29 Total Bases / 60 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — 15th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has a strike rate of 70% (219/311) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Brewers are just 5-24 (.172) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.

The Brewers are 31-28 (.525) on the road this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Brewers are 5-38 (.116) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Brewers are 30-22 (.577) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Cardinals are 30-8 (.789) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Cardinals are 51-17 (.750) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Cardinals are 50-2 (.962) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Cardinals are 35-8 (.814) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Brewers are batting just .226 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Brewers hitters have an OPS of .766 (3,039 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .326 (3,039 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.07 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Cardinals hitters have 212 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .795 (2,134 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Cardinals hitters have 239 extra-base hits out of 566 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of 1.069 (100 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this month (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .697.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The longest HR allowed by the Cardinals pitchers this season traveled 494.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.3

Cardinals pitchers have walked 90 of 981 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 218 of 2,400 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Cardinals have won 56% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Cardinals vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
  • Jordan Montgomery (Cardinals): Cramps, Day-to-Day
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Omar Narváez (Brewers): Quad, D10
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Jace Peterson (Brewers): Left Elbow, D10
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.