- The Brewers (60-51) are -140 favorites vs the Cardinals (62-50)
- Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes (8-5), 2.44 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright (8-8), 3.41 ERA
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Milwaukee Brewers (-140) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+115) on Saturday, August 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Brewers vs Cardinals Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 60-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 62-50 ATS.
Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +125 | O 7 +100 | -140 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -150 | U 7 -120 | +115 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s matchup with 70.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Kolten Wong has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 49 games (+9.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 62% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 39 games at home (+13.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 39 games at home (+12.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 44 games (+11.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+10.95 Units / 32% ROI)
Cardinals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -120 |
Cardinals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Wainwright | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Corbin Burnes | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 53 of their last 91 games (+17.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 91 games (+8.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.05 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+15.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+9.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 48 of their last 89 games (+7.60 Units / 8% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 46-65 against the Run Line (-24.4 Units / -18.07% ROI).
- 60-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -18 Units / -10.08% ROI
- 55-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.45 Units / 0.37% ROI
- 50-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.7 Units / -7.92% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 62-50 against the Run Line (+9.35 Units / 6.63% ROI).
- 62-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 3.73% ROI
- 52-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -8.36% ROI
- 56-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -1 Units / -0.81% ROI
Corbin Burnes: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 44% (65/149) against Corbin Burnes on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 70% of the time (119/170) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (382/1,029) against Corbin Burnes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
76 of Corbin Burnes’ 175 strikeouts (43%) have come on cutters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 5% — 100th Percentile.
Adam Wainwright: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (168/936) against Adam Wainwright this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 55% of the time (2,079/3,767) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 44% (485/1,094) against Adam Wainwright this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (67/217) against Adam Wainwright this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Brewers are just 5-24 (.172) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.
The Brewers are 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 31-29 (.517) on the road this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The Brewers are 75-27 (.735) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .648.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cardinals are 36-20 (.643) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Cardinals are 21-3 (.875) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Cardinals are 49-3 (.942) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Cardinals are 52-17 (.754) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .226 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .354 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Brewers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Brewers are batting just .220 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 214 extra-base hits out of 499 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .569 on the road over the last 14 days (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .384.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .793 (2,163 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .344 (918 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Brewers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH this season (2,618 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.6
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Cardinals pitchers this season traveled 494.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.3
Cardinals pitchers have an ERA of 10.08 (25.0 IP) on the road this month (3 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 106 double plays in 841 opportunities (13%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
- Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
- Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Omar Narváez (Brewers): Quad, D10
- Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Jace Peterson (Brewers): Left Elbow, D10
- Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
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