- The Cardinals (62-51) are -145 favorites vs the Brewers (61-51)
- Brewers starting pitcher: Aaron Ashby (2-10), 4.32 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas (8-9), 3.50 ERA
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Milwaukee Brewers (+120) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-145) on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Brewers vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 61-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 63-50 ATS.
Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -165 | O 8 -115 | +120 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +140 | U 8 -105 | -145 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s matchup with 68.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 42 away games (+9.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 62% ROI)
- Keston Hiura has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+9.10 Units / 57% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 40 games at home (+14.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 40 games at home (+13.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 42 games at home (+11.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games (+10.40 Units / 74% ROI)
Cardinals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Paul DeJong | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
Cardinals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Dylan Carlson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -145 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Ashby | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +105 |
| Miles Mikolas | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -175 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 53 of their last 92 games (+16.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 92 games (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 51 games (+6.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+16.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+13.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+12.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.50 Units / 37% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 46-66 against the Run Line (-25.4 Units / -18.67% ROI).
- 61-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -17 Units / -9.44% ROI
- 55-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -0.45% ROI
- 51-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.7 Units / -7.04% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 63-50 against the Run Line (+10.35 Units / 7.27% ROI).
- 62-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 3.03% ROI
- 52-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.35 Units / -9.09% ROI
- 57-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Aaron Ashby: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 57% of Aaron Ashby’s pitches in the zone (439/764) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.
Aaron Ashby has walked 13 of 91 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 36% (388/1,064) against Aaron Ashby in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 44% of Aaron Ashby’s pitches (673/1,525) this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 48% — fifth Percentile.
Miles Mikolas: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (204/1,088) against Miles Mikolas this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 18% (25 SO in 137 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (74/424) against Miles Mikolas this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (11/83) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
keys to the game – away
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
keys to the game – home
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 214 extra-base hits out of 500 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .792 (2,167 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .460 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .623 on the road this month (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have an ERA of 10.08 (25.0 IP) on the road this month (3 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 218 of 2,419 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
- Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
- Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Omar Narváez (Brewers): Quad, D10
- Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Jace Peterson (Brewers): Left Elbow, D10
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