Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 14

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 14, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Cardinals (62-51) are -145 favorites vs the Brewers (61-51)
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Aaron Ashby (2-10), 4.32 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas (8-9), 3.50 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSMW

The Milwaukee Brewers (+120) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-145) on Sunday, August 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Brewers vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Brewers are 61-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 63-50 ATS.

Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers+1.5 -165O 8 -115+120
Cardinals -1.5 +140U 8 -105-145

Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s matchup with 68.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Brewers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.35 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 42 away games (+9.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Keston Hiura has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+9.10 Units / 57% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 40 games at home (+14.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 40 games at home (+13.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 42 games at home (+11.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Dylan Carlson has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.45 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games (+10.40 Units / 74% ROI)

Cardinals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Andrew Knizner 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +310 0.5 -550

Cardinals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Andrew Knizner 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Paul DeJong 0.5 -175 0.5 +125

Cardinals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Andrew Knizner 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +105 0.5 -145

Cardinals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Ashby 4.5 -145 4.5 +105
Miles Mikolas 4.5 +120 4.5 -175
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 53 of their last 92 games (+16.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 92 games (+7.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 51 games (+6.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+16.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+13.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+12.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.50 Units / 37% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 46-66 against the Run Line (-25.4 Units / -18.67% ROI).

  • 61-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -17 Units / -9.44% ROI
  • 55-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -0.45% ROI
  • 51-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.7 Units / -7.04% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 63-50 against the Run Line (+10.35 Units / 7.27% ROI).

  • 62-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 3.03% ROI
  • 52-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.35 Units / -9.09% ROI
  • 57-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Hitters have swung at 57% of Aaron Ashby’s pitches in the zone (439/764) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.

Aaron Ashby has walked 13 of 91 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 36% (388/1,064) against Aaron Ashby in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 44% of Aaron Ashby’s pitches (673/1,525) this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 48% — fifth Percentile.

Miles Mikolas: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (204/1,088) against Miles Mikolas this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 18% (25 SO in 137 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (74/424) against Miles Mikolas this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (11/83) against Miles Mikolas with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

keys to the game – away

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

keys to the game – home

team hitters – away

Cardinals hitters have 214 extra-base hits out of 500 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .792 (2,167 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .460 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .623 on the road this month (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .386.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have an ERA of 10.08 (25.0 IP) on the road this month (3 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 218 of 2,419 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Omar Narváez (Brewers): Quad, D10
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Jace Peterson (Brewers): Left Elbow, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.