- The Cardinals (83-58) are -185 favorites vs the Brewers (75-66)
- Brewers starting pitcher: Matthew Bush (2-2), 3.22 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery (8-3), 3.07 ERA
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Milwaukee Brewers (+150) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-185) on Tuesday, September 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Brewers vs Cardinals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 73-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 77-61 ATS.
Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -140 | O 7.5 -105 | +150 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +115 | U 7.5 -115 | -185 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Tuesday‘s matchup with confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 54 away games (+9.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 30 away games (+9.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Eric Lauer has hit the Strikeouts Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Freddy Peralta has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 71% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 35 games (+7.80 Units / 22% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Over in his last 13 games (+16.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 54 games at home (+16.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 34 of his last 54 games at home (+14.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 56 games at home (+13.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.25 Units / 47% ROI)
Cardinals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
Cardinals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Knizner | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 64 of their last 121 games (+9.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 38 games (+5.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 56-82 against the Run Line (-33.55 Units / -20.2% ROI).
- 73-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.2 Units / -9.97% ROI
- 67-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -2.56% ROI
- 65-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.7 Units / -5.06% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 77-61 against the Run Line (+13.25 Units / 7.72% ROI).
- 80-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.75 Units / 4.49% ROI
- 65-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.1 Units / -6.01% ROI
- 67-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -4 Units / -2.66% ROI
Matthew Bush: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .100 (11-for-110) against Matt Bush with two-strikes this season — 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .156 — 91st Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .100 (3-for-30) against Matt Bush’s elevated fastball this season — tied for 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .476 (10-for-21) against Matt Bush on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .322 — sixth Percentile.
Matt Bush has a strikeout rate of 53% (8 SO in 15 PAs) this month (4 games) — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (84/236) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 94th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has attempted to pick off a runner at second base 8 timesthis season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has allowed a slugging percentage of just .267 (27 Total Bases / 101 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .412 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% (225/459) against Jordan Montgomery this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 83rd Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Brewers are 100-86 (.538) on the road since the 2020 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Brewers are 138-25 (.847) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Brewers are 22-117 (.158) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Brewers are 80-31 (.721) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .647.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cardinals are 156-14 (.918) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Cardinals are 66-4 (.943) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Cardinals are 96-83 (.536) on the road since the 2020 season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Cardinals are 139-25 (.848) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .317 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.10 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers hitters are slugging .433 against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
The Brewers are batting just .215 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .474 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Cardinals hitters have 245 extra-base hits out of 567 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have 272 extra-base hits out of 639 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of 1.412 (44 PA’s) against LHP this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .743.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 139 double plays in 1,064 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 235 of 2,671 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Thumb, D10
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
- Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Wrist, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
- Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Jonathan Davis (Brewers): Elbow, D10
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