- The Brewers (76-66) are -125 favorites vs the Cardinals (83-59)
- Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes (10-6), 2.93 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright (10-9), 3.32 ERA
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The Milwaukee Brewers (-125) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+105) on Wednesday, September 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Brewers vs Cardinals Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 74-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 77-62 ATS.
Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +140 | O 7 -115 | -125 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -165 | U 7 -105 | +105 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Wednesday‘s matchup with confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 31 away games (+10.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 36 games (+8.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Eric Lauer has hit the Strikeouts Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 55 away games (+8.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- Freddy Peralta has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 8 games (+8.05 Units / 71% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Over in his last 14 games (+17.25 Units / 69% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 55 games at home (+15.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 34 of his last 55 games at home (+13.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Corey Dickerson has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)
Cardinals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -140 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
Cardinals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -450 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Wainwright | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -175 |
| Corbin Burnes | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 65 of their last 122 games (+10.20 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.60 Units / 18% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 39 games (+4.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+1.00 Units / 4% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 57-82 against the Run Line (-32.55 Units / -19.44% ROI).
- 74-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.65 Units / -9.23% ROI
- 68-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -1.89% ROI
- 65-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.75 Units / -5.71% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 77-62 against the Run Line (+12.25 Units / 7.1% ROI).
- 80-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.05 Units / 3.58% ROI
- 66-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.1 Units / -5.31% ROI
- 67-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.05 Units / -3.33% ROI
Corbin Burnes: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 45% (86/191) against Corbin Burnes on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 66% of the time (133/202) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 71% of the time (143/202) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has thrown low pitches 67% of the time (990/1,483) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Adam Wainwright: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (92/292) against Adam Wainwright this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 59% of the time (718/1,226) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown off-speed pitches 68% of the time (833/1,226) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 56% of the time (2,351/4,182) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Brewers are 39-27 (.591) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Brewers are 15-7 (.682) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are just 53-10 (.841) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.
The Brewers are 8-49 (.140) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .116.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cardinals are 62-3 (.954) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .884.
The Cardinals are 14-4 (.778) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 44-10 (.815) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Cardinals are 35-13 (.729) when scoring in the first inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .662.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.08 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Brewers are batting just .223 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Brewers are batting just .217 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .683 (3,098 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 245 extra-base hits out of 567 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have drawn 10 walks in 53 PA’s (19%) against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .472 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .721 against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 139 double plays in 1,069 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Thumb, D10
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
- Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Groin, Day-to-Day
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
- Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
- Jonathan Davis (Brewers): Elbow, D10
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