- The Brewers are -185 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Milwaukee Brewers (-185) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+150) on Monday, September 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Brewers vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 84-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 72-77 ATS.
Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 -110 | O 8.5 -105 | -185 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -110 | U 8.5 -115 | +150 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 74.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 39 games (+16.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 45 games (+16.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+13.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 away games (+12.55 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jordan Walker has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games at home (+11.50 Units / 79% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+11.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+9.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games at home (+8.85 Units / 31% ROI)
Cardinals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Mark Canha | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Cardinals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -110 |
| Adam Wainwright | 3.5 +135 | 3.5 -175 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 81 games (+12.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 28 games (+12.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 54 away games (+9.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.18 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.43 Units / 25% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.09 Units / 47% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+7.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+5.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 79 games (+4.85 Units / 5% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 73-76 against the Run Line (-6.95 Units / -3.69% ROI).
- 84-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.65 Units / 3.97% ROI
- 67-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.25 Units / -11.06% ROI
- 77-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.55 Units / 2.18% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 72-77 against the Run Line (-11.15 Units / -5.89% ROI).
- 66-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -31 Units / -16.34% ROI
- 71-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.15 Units / -4.34% ROI
- 71-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.75 Units / -4.12% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .194 (12-for-62) against Freddy Peralta on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .344 — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has struck out 50% (25/50) of right-handed batters he faced over the last 30 days (5 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (436/1,277) against Freddy Peralta this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 96th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 53% (200 SO in 381 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 94th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adam Wainwright has averaged 86.7 MPH on fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .354 (147-for-415) against Adam Wainwright this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 0 Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has allowed a slugging percentage of .731 (125 Total Bases / 171 ABs) on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .456 — 0 Percentile.
Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting .372 (100-for-269) against Adam Wainwright this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 0 Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Brewers are 19-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Brewers are 19-36 (.345) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Brewers are 21-9 (.700) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .505.
The Brewers are 34-10 (.773) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .689.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cardinals are 26-17 (.605) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 65-83 (.439) this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 53-6 (.898) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Cardinals are just 3-63 (.045) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 115 extra-base hits out of 453 total hits (just 25%) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .356 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Brewers hitters have chased 12% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 42% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .262 (6,205 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .332 (5,779 PA’s) at home since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Cardinals hitters had an OPS of .809 (1,363 PA’s) against LHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 1 of 54 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 5 of 110 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Romero (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Foot, D10
- Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Guillermo Zuñiga (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Lat, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jean Carlos Mejía (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Julio Teheran (Brewers): Hip, D15
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Back, D10
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