- The Brewers are -125 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Brewers starting pitcher: Trevor Megill
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Drew Rom
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Milwaukee Brewers (-125) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+105) on Tuesday, September 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Brewers vs Cardinals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 84-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 73-77 ATS.
Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -120 | -125 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -160 | U 9 +100 | +105 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 59.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+15.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+15.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+13.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+12.65 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jordan Walker has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 11 games at home (+12.50 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games at home (+12.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+10.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games at home (+10.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+9.80 Units / 17% ROI)
Cardinals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Victor Caratini | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mark Canha | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Victor Caratini | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Carlos Santana | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Victor Caratini | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Rom | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
| Trevor Megill | 1.5 +125 | 1.5 -165 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 29 games (+11.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+11.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 55 away games (+10.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 32 games (+7.96 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.18 Units / 21% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+8.55 Units / 59% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.89 Units / 39% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games at home (+6.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 80 games (+5.85 Units / 6% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 73-77 against the Run Line (-8.1 Units / -4.27% ROI).
- 84-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.95 Units / 3.06% ROI
- 67-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.35 Units / -11.65% ROI
- 78-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 2.77% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 73-77 against the Run Line (-10.15 Units / -5.33% ROI).
- 67-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.45 Units / -15.44% ROI
- 71-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.25 Units / -4.98% ROI
- 72-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -3.49% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Megill has a strike rate of 76% (47/62) over the last 14 days (5 games) — highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Trevor Megill has a strike rate of 74% (127/172) over the last 30 days (10 games) — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Trevor Megill has 8 three-pitch strikeouts over the last 30 days (10 games) — most among in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Trevor Megill has allowed an OBP of just .167 (18 PA’s) over the last 14 days (5 games) — tied for 9th best in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .308 — 93rd Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters batted just .125 (2-for-16) against Drew Rom — 5th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .237 — 92nd Percentile.
Drew Rom has walked 3 of 21 batters (14%) over the past seven days (1 games) — 4th highest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents batted just .111 (2-for-18) against Drew Rom — tied for 8th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .230 — 92nd Percentile.
Drew Rom allowed a slugging percentage of just .188 (3 Total Bases / 16 ABs) against right-handed batters — 3rd best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .395 — 96th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Brewers are 19-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Brewers are 19-36 (.345) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Brewers are 21-9 (.700) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Brewers are 39-26 (.600) after a loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cardinals are just 3-63 (.045) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Cardinals are just 54-6 (.900) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Cardinals are just 44-46 (.489) after a win as favorites since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 115 extra-base hits out of 457 total hits (just 25%) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .354 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .375 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 42% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,815 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .331 (5,842 PA’s) at home since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .261 (6,234 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have walked 5 of 121 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.88 (651.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Giovanny Gallegos (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Joseph Romero (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Foot, D10
- Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Guillermo Zuñiga (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
- Thyago Vieira (Brewers): Calf, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Lat, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jean Carlos Mejía (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Julio Teheran (Brewers): Hip, D15
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Back, D10
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