- The Brewers are -120 favorites vs the Cubs
- Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Milwaukee Brewers (-120) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+100) on Saturday, April 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Brewers vs Cubs Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 0-0 ATS.
Brewers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +155 | O 6.5 +100 | -120 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -190 | U 6.5 -120 | +100 |
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Brewers vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kolten Wong has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Omar Narvaez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+3.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.65 Units / 120% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Frank Schwindel has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Yan Gomes has hit the RBIs Over in his last game at home (+2.10 Units / 210% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Singles Over in his last game at home (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Franmil Reyes has hit the RBIs Over in his last game at home (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Under in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
Cubs vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Miller | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Cubs vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Miller | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Cubs vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Miller | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Cubs vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Steele | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -115 |
| Brandon Woodruff | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -135 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 away games (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 46 of their last 99 games (+5.90 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+2.90 Units / 9% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 48 games (+17.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 108 games (+16.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 163 games (+14.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 35 games (+3.60 Units / 9% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 54% (116/215) against Brandon Woodruff on changeups in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 37% of Brandon Woodruff’s breaking pitches (224/605) in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 47% (205/432) against Brandon Woodruff on changeups since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Brandon Woodruff struck out 35% (102/293) of left-handed batters he faced in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 34% (26/77) versus Justin Steele with runners in scoring position in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents batted just .137 (23-for-168) against Justin Steele’s curve and slider in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .221 — 99th Percentile.
Justin Steele threw fastballs 71% of the time (364/512) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 52% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% (52/100) against Justin Steele on elevated fastballs since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers are 93-30 (.756) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2021 season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Brewers are 153-54 (.739) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2021 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Brewers were 25-28 (.472) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Brewers were just 70-5 (.933) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2022 — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs are just 32-21 (.604) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .809.
The Cubs were just 19-11 (.633) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Cubs are just 57-43 (.570) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Cubs were just 65-4 (.942) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2022 — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .226 against LHP since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Brewers hitters averaged 4.05 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Brewers hitters have 810 strikeouts in 3,250 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers hitters slugged .425 against RHP in 2022 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 54 double plays in 386 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters slugged just .185 in lefty-lefty matchups in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .347.
The Cubs batted .371 on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Cubs hitters had an OPS of just .432 (104 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .648.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since the 2021 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 1,137 of 12,365 batters (9%) since the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Cubs pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games on the road since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Cubs vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Oblique, D10
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D15
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D10
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Groin, D15
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D15
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
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