- The Cubs are -125 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Wade Miley
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Milwaukee Brewers (+105) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-125) on Monday, August 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Brewers vs Cubs Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 73-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 67-63 ATS.
Brewers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -190 | O 9 -115 | +105 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +155 | U 9 -105 | -125 |
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 59.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Brewers vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 45 games (+14.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 45 games (+11.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 45 games (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+20.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+19.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Over in 21 of his last 34 games (+16.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+15.95 Units / 49% ROI)
Cubs vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Cubs vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Cubs vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
| Jameson Taillon | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in their last 8 games (+8.90 Units / 98% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 away games (+8.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 8 games (+8.29 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in their last 8 games (+8.28 Units / 89% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.75 Units / 45% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 34 games (+18.84 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 65 games (+10.09 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+9.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games (+9.67 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+6.70 Units / 26% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 60-70 against the Run Line (-13.45 Units / -8.32% ROI).
- 73-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.15 Units / 5.68% ROI
- 58-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.35 Units / -10.72% ROI
- 66-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 1.74% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 67-63 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.24% ROI).
- 69-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units / 2.32% ROI
- 69-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.65 Units / 5.35% ROI
- 55-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.5 Units / -14.54% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Wade Miley has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (159/359) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 53% of the time (252/479) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.
Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 56% of the time (522/937) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.
Wade Miley has thrown his cutter 52% of the time (188/359) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total CUT; League Avg: 20% — 97th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (30/206) against Jameson Taillon with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has thrown breaking pitches 51% of the time (987/1,946) since last season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 16 of 643 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to August 3rd — the longest active streak is 8.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
keys to the game – away
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
keys to the game – home
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – home
Cubs vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Fulmer (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Rib, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Lat, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Forearm, Day-to-Day
- Blake Perkins (Brewers): Oblique, D10
- Jean Carlos Mejía (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Julio Teheran (Brewers): Hip, D15
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Back, D10
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