- The Cubs are -135 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele
- Watch the game on TBS
The Milwaukee Brewers (+110) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-135) on Tuesday, August 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Brewers vs Cubs Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 74-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 67-64 ATS.
Brewers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -200 | O 6.5 +100 | +110 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +165 | U 6.5 -120 | -135 |
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 61.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Brewers vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 46 games (+15.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 46 games (+13.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+12.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+10.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+9.55 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 36 of his last 50 games (+18.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+17.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+16.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- Mike Tauchman has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 47 games (+15.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Cubs vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Cubs vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nico Hoerner | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
Cubs vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Cubs vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
| Justin Steele | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in their last 9 games (+10.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 46 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 9 games (+9.53 Units / 79% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in their last 9 games (+9.38 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.75 Units / 46% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 35 games (+17.79 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 66 games (+9.04 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games at home (+8.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+8.37 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.50 Units / 14% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 61-70 against the Run Line (-12.45 Units / -7.61% ROI).
- 74-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.25 Units / 6.33% ROI
- 58-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.4 Units / -11.37% ROI
- 67-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.45 Units / 2.43% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 67-64 against the Run Line (-1.4 Units / -0.84% ROI).
- 69-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 1.48% ROI
- 69-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.6 Units / 4.58% ROI
- 56-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.5 Units / -13.72% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 62% of the time (147/237) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has allowed a slugging percentage of just .237 (68 Total Bases / 287 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .414 — 100th Percentile.
66 of Corbin Burnes’ 160 strikeouts (41%) have come on cutters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 4% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has allowed an OPS of just .493 (328 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .727 — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (276/572) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (681/1,435) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (681/1,435) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (276/572) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers are 16-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Brewers are 34-23 (.596) after a loss this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Brewers are 16-12 (.571) after a loss as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Brewers are 23-23 (.500) after a loss as underdogs since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs are 60-4 (.938) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Cubs are 17-13 (.567) after a loss as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Cubs were just 19-11 (.633) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Cubs are just 27-31 (.466) after a loss as favorites since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are slugging just .232 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .375 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Brewers hitters have just 12 strikeouts in 114 PA’s (10%) against LHP over the last 14 days (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .517 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
Cubs hitters have 43 extra-base hits out of 147 total hits (just 29%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Cubs hitters have chased 48% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have 164 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th fewest in MLB.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (3,290 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.1.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Cubs pitchers with the shift this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Cubs have won 38% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Cubs vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported
- Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
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