- The Diamondbacks are -130 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Janson Junk
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Drey Jameson
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The Milwaukee Brewers (+110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-130) on Wednesday, April 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Brewers vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 8-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 8-4 ATS.
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -175 | O 9.5 -120 | +110 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +145 | U 9.5 +100 | -130 |
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 66.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games (+6.45 Units / 106% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games (+5.80 Units / 145% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.50 Units / 86% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.40 Units / 74% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.45 Units / 64% ROI)
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jose Herrera | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Jake McCarthy | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Herrera | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Jake McCarthy | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Herrera | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jake McCarthy | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junk | 3.5 +135 | 3.5 -175 |
| Jameson | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.35 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+3.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 55% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+3.40 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 52% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 7-4 against the Run Line (+4.45 Units / 34.77% ROI).
- 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 36.67% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -31.08% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 24.46% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 8-4 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 22.65% ROI).
- 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 42.17% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 2.58% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -10.42% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Janson Junk has limited playing time.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 55% (18/33) against Drey Jameson this season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 53% (8/15) against Drey Jameson this season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.
Drey Jameson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 34% (12/35) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (22/51) against Drey Jameson this season — 15th best among among 240 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 94th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Brewers are 11-123 (.082) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Brewers are 75-30 (.714) when scoring in the first inning since the 2021 season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .651.
The Brewers are 34-45 (.430) when underdogs since the 2021 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Brewers are just 76-5 (.938) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Diamondbacks are just 96-33 (.744) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.
The Diamondbacks are just 105-23 (.820) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.
The Diamondbacks are just 30-158 (.160) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.
The Diamondbacks were just 57-12 (.826) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters averaged 4.08 pitches per plate appearance against LHP in 2022 — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Brewers hitters have 468 strikeouts in 1,802 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .377 against LHP since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .689 (3,341 PA’s) against LHP since the 2021 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Opponents have used a defensive shift against the Diamondbacks on 67% of their plate appearances this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.. *
Diamondbacks hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Diamondbacks are just 96-33 (.744) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OPS of just .655 (1,689 PA’s) against LHP in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 61 of 454 batters (13%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in late innings since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D15
- Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D10
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D10
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Groin, D15
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
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