• The Brewers are -120 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
• Brewers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Brewers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: PEAC | NBCX

The Milwaukee Brewers (-120) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) on July 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:00 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Brewers are 54-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 47-39 ATS.

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Sproat 3-4, 5.26 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 7-2, 2.21 ERA

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Brewers vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+14.70 Units / 245% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.50 Units / 37% ROI)
• Jake Bauers has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.85 Units / 44% ROI)
• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.45 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games (+16.30 Units / 181% ROI)
• Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+14.60 Units / 50% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+13.25 Units / 53% ROI)
• Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 47% ROI)
• Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 31% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+9.30 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.30 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 40 away games (+5.50 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+5.30 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.50 Units / 29% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+15.55 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+11.95 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.05 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+5.45 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+5.35 Units / 9% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 49-38 against the Run Line (+17.7 Units / 17.41% ROI).

• 54-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 7.28% ROI
• 39-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.5 Units / -12% ROI
• 46-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 3.39% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 47-39 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.34% ROI).

• 44-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -1.93% ROI
• 37-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.4 Units / -13.81% ROI
• 46-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.65 Units / 5.85% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Brewers are 8-24 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Brewers are 8-23 (.258) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .139.

The Brewers are 25-15 (.625) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .476.

The Brewers are 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Diamondbacks are just 10-20 (.333) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Brewers (third in runs scored).

The Diamondbacks are 38-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .945.

The Diamondbacks are just 102-16 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.

The Diamondbacks are just 91-23 (.798) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .870.

Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends

The Brewers are batting .397 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,005 of their 3,394 plate appearances (30%) this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers hitters are slugging .669 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers have a winning percentage of 62% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks hitters have put 42% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

9% of Diamondbacks’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (299/3,270 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB.

The Brewers have won 59% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in the first 5 innings this season — best in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB.

Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out just 17% of left-handed batters they faced this season — lowest in MLB.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in the first 5 innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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