- The Dodgers are -225 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Adrian Houser
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Robert Miller
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Milwaukee Brewers (+180) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-225) on Tuesday, August 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Brewers vs Dodgers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 65-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 64-53 ATS.
Brewers vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -105 | O 9 -115 | +180 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -115 | U 9 -105 | -225 |
Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 81.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 27 games (+18.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 36 games (+13.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+12.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+11.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+11.25 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 32 games (+15.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 49 games (+12.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 39 games (+10.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 32 games (+9.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- David Peralta has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+9.35 Units / 65% ROI)
Dodgers vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
Dodgers vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Will Smith | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +210 | 1.5 -275 |
Dodgers vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Dodgers vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Miller | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
| Adrian Houser | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -135 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 57 of their last 97 games (+9.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 58 away games (+7.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 56 of their last 97 games (+7.85 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 39 away games (+5.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 20 away games (+2.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 58 of their last 97 games (+19.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 91 games (+17.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 68 of their last 113 games (+16.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 46 games at home (+8.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.16 Units / 38% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 53-66 against the Run Line (-16.95 Units / -11.55% ROI).
- 65-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 2.18% ROI
- 52-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.9 Units / -12.92% ROI
- 62-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.95 Units / 3.84% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 64-53 against the Run Line (+13.25 Units / 9.34% ROI).
- 71-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 0.32% ROI
- 67-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.45 Units / 13.51% ROI
- 45-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -28 Units / -21.81% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 71% of the time (948/1,338) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 99th Percentile.
Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 72% of the time (292/403) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 68% of the time (628/922) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Adrian Houser has allowed a slugging percentage of just .287 (39 Total Bases / 136 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .434 — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bobby Miller has an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.
Bobby Miller has averaged 98.9 MPH on fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — 100th Percentile.
Bobby Miller has thrown 197 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — 15th most among of 116 pitchers in MLB — 87th Percentile.
Bobby Miller has a strikeout rate of just 15% (9 SO in 61 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — tied for 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 12th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Brewers are 13-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Brewers are 14-6 (.700) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 22-21 (.512) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Brewers are 75-54 (.581) after a loss since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Dodgers are 159-26 (.859) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Dodgers are 18-71 (.202) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .130.
The Dodgers are 34-15 (.694) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .452.
The Dodgers are 32-14 (.696) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are slugging just .225 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .357 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Brewers are batting just .227 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Brewers are batting just .214 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .770 (3,304 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 16 double plays in 331 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Dodgers hitters have 129 extra-base hits out of 275 total hits (47%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .448 since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Dodgers have won 52% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 752 of 10,244 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Knee, D15
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Lat, D15
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Kelly (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
- Julio Martinez (Dodgers): Groin/Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Jonathan Deluca (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Lat, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Ryan Tellez (Brewers): Forearm, D10
- Blake Perkins (Brewers): Oblique, D10
- Julio Teheran (Brewers): Hip, D15
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Back, D10
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