Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 16

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 16, 2023, 3:33 PM
  • The Dodgers are -250 favorites vs the Brewers
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Wade Miley
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw
  • Watch the game on SportsNet LA

The Milwaukee Brewers (+195) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-250) on Wednesday, August 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Brewers vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Brewers are 65-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 65-53 ATS.

Brewers vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers+1.5 +100O 8 +100+195
Dodgers -1.5 -120U 8 -120-250

Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 82.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Brewers vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 28 games (+19.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 37 games (+12.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.80 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+11.05 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 33 games (+14.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 50 games (+11.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 40 games (+9.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Enrique Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.15 Units / 25% ROI)

Dodgers vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Will Smith 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Carlos Santana 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Amed Rosario 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Christian Yelich 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600

Dodgers vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Will Smith 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Carlos Santana 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Amed Rosario 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Christian Yelich 0.5 -275 0.5 +200

Dodgers vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Will Smith 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Carlos Santana 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Amed Rosario 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Christian Yelich 0.5 +240 0.5 -350

Dodgers vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Wade Miley 3.5 -110 3.5 -115
Clayton Kershaw 5.5 -155 5.5 +120
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 58 of their last 98 games (+10.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 57 of their last 98 games (+8.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 away games (+6.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 away games (+6.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 21 away games (+1.60 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 58 of their last 98 games (+18.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 92 games (+18.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 69 of their last 114 games (+17.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 47 games at home (+9.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.36 Units / 43% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 53-67 against the Run Line (-18.15 Units / -12.27% ROI).

  • 65-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 1.5% ROI
  • 52-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.95 Units / -13.61% ROI
  • 63-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.95 Units / 4.58% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 65-53 against the Run Line (+14.25 Units / 9.98% ROI).

  • 72-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 0.83% ROI
  • 67-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.4 Units / 12.59% ROI
  • 46-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -27 Units / -20.84% ROI

Wade Miley has induced opposing hitters to ground into 11 double plays in 55 opportunities (20%) this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 97th Percentile.

Wade Miley has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (526/1,163) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 176 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Wade Miley has thrown his cutter 46% of the time (117/256) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total CUT; League Avg: 20% — 97th Percentile.

Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 52% of the time (166/319) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 58% of the time (348/598) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 62% of the time (605/973) when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 176 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has allowed an OPS of just .701 (136 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 1.063 — 100th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 58% of Clayton Kershaw’s non-fastballs (555/964) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Brewers are 13-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .789.

The Brewers are 30-16 (.652) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are just 16-59 (.213) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.

The Brewers are 29-9 (.763) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .689.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Dodgers are 160-26 (.860) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.

The Dodgers are 15-6 (.714) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .511.

The Dodgers are 32-14 (.696) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Dodgers are 18-71 (.202) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .129.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .223 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.

The Brewers are batting just .211 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .375 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .354 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.

The Dodgers have scored 1.64 runs per game (458/280) in late innings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.31.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .786 (7,798 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .448 since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .769 (3,311 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents are hitting just .234 against Brewers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Dodgers have won 48% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.

Dodgers vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Knee, D15
  • Michael Grove (Dodgers): Lat, D15
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Joseph Kelly (Dodgers): Forearm, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Jacob Marisnick (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
  • Jonathan Deluca (Dodgers): Hamstring, D10
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Shelby Miller (Dodgers): Neck, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
  • Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
  • Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Brewers): Lat, D60
  • Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
  • Ryan Tellez (Brewers): Forearm, D10
  • Blake Perkins (Brewers): Oblique, D10
  • Jean Carlos Mejía (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
  • Julio Teheran (Brewers): Hip, D15
  • Jesse Winker (Brewers): Back, D10

Bet now on Brewers vs Dodgers and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM first bet offer for $1000
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.