Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 23

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 23, 2022, 10:22 AM
  • The Dodgers (84-37) are -155 favorites vs the Brewers (65-56)
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes (9-5), 2.48 ERA
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin (15-1), 2.11 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet LA

The Milwaukee Brewers (+125) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) on Tuesday, August 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Brewers vs Dodgers Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Brewers are 63-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 73-45 ATS.

Brewers vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers+1.5 -165O 7 -105+125
Dodgers -1.5 +140U 7 -115-155

Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 61.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.35 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Hunter Renfroe has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 29 away games (+10.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Kolten Wong has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.25 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+10.25 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+13.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 49 games at home (+10.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Austin Barnes has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+10.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 56 of their last 101 games (+13.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 60 games (+7.62 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 71 of their last 117 games (+11.83 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games (+10.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+3.95 Units / 8% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 48-70 against the Run Line (-28.2 Units / -19.71% ROI).

  • 63-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.4 Units / -9.86% ROI
  • 58-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -0.69% ROI
  • 54-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.85 Units / -6.81% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 73-45 against the Run Line (+24.7 Units / 17.44% ROI).

  • 82-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.65 Units / 3.21% ROI
  • 47-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.3 Units / -16.43% ROI
  • 62-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.75 Units / 7.49% ROI

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 67% of the time (124/185) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (70/163) against Corbin Burnes on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has thrown low pitches 61% of the time (761/1,246) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (407/1,119) against Corbin Burnes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Anthony Gonsolin: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .123 (48-for-390) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .169 (73-for-432) against Tony Gonsolin this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.

Tony Gonsolin has allowed a BABIP of .201 this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .284 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .125 (35-for-281) against Tony Gonsolin’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — 100th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Brewers are 33-32 (.508) on the road this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Brewers are 6-43 (.122) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Brewers are 14-7 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are just 5-25 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Dodgers are 76-14 (.844) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Dodgers are 42-15 (.737) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Dodgers are 109-16 (.872) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.

The Dodgers are 105-24 (.814) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .647.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.11 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Brewers are batting just .224 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .683 (2,801 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Brewers are batting just .217 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .790 (1,402 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .682.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .800 (3,263 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .776 (3,274 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (7,676 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Brewers pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.94 (1261.2 IP) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH since the start of last season (6,493 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Dodgers pitchers have walked 295 of 4,284 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Dodgers have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Dodgers vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers): Back, D15
  • Yency Almonte (Dodgers): Elbow, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
  • Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Trevor Gott (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
  • Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
  • Trevor Rosenthal (Brewers): Hamstring, D15
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Jandel Gustave (Brewers): Forearm, D15
  • Jace Peterson (Brewers): Left Elbow, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.