- The Brewers (49-40) are -110 favorites vs the Giants (45-42)
- Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes (7-4), 2.20 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (8-5), 2.70 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Milwaukee Brewers (-110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-110) on Thursday, July 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Brewers vs Giants Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 49-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 42-45 ATS.
Brewers vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +165 | O 6.5 -115 | -110 |
| Giants | +1.5 -200 | U 6.5 -105 | -110 |
Brewers vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 55.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 64% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.40 Units / 43% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Belt has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+5.40 Units / 108% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.45 Units / 53% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Runs Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+3.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.55 Units / 34% ROI)
Giants vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| David Villar | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Giants vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| David Villar | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -125 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
Giants vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -450 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| David Villar | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
Giants vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon | 7.5 -155 | 7.5 +110 |
| Corbin Burnes | 7.5 -145 | 7.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 69 games (+13.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 69 games (+6.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 29 away games (+4.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.30 Units / 40% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+12.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+5.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 42 games (+2.85 Units / 5% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.45 Units / 34% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 38-51 against the Run Line (-15.65 Units / -14.54% ROI).
- 49-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -6.47% ROI
- 43-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.8 Units / -1.83% ROI
- 41-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.5 Units / -5.62% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 42-45 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -5.21% ROI).
- 45-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -10.93% ROI
- 42-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -2.46% ROI
- 40-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -7.03% ROI
Corbin Burnes: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 46% (54/118) against Corbin Burnes on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 56% of the time (233/418) since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 69% of the time (85/124) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (303/795) against Corbin Burnes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodón: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 39% (79 SO in 203 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 34% (30 SO in 87 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of just .292 (106 Total Bases / 363 ABs) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 95th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed an OPS of just .561 (400 PA’s) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .676 — 94th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Brewers are just 3-19 (.136) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.
The Brewers are just 4-5 (.444) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 28-21 (.571) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Brewers are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Giants are 35-2 (.946) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Giants are 4-33 (.108) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Giants are 31-5 (.861) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Giants are just 6-9 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .227 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.08 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .382 against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Brewers have a winning percentage of 60% on the road since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants have a winning percentage of 60% on the road since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .294 (371 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
The Giants are batting just .136 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have walked 14 of 107 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 14 of 99 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (2,103 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 652 of 9,264 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Giants vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Evan Longoria (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Thomas La Stella (Giants): COVID-19, D10
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Concussion, D7
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Christian Yelich (Brewers): Back, Day-to-Day
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
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