Brewers vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 14

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 14, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Brewers (49-40) are -110 favorites vs the Giants (45-42)
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes (7-4), 2.20 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón (8-5), 2.70 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Milwaukee Brewers (-110) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-110) on Thursday, July 14, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Brewers vs Giants Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Brewers are 49-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 42-45 ATS.

Brewers vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers-1.5 +165O 6.5 -115-110
Giants +1.5 -200U 6.5 -105-110

Brewers vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 55.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Giants vs Brewers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.40 Units / 43% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Belt has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+5.40 Units / 108% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Total Bases Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.45 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Brandon Belt has hit the Runs Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+3.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.55 Units / 34% ROI)

Giants vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Belt 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
David Villar 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Joc Pederson 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Joey Bart 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500

Giants vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Belt 0.5 -110 0.5 -130
Brandon Crawford 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
David Villar 0.5 -115 0.5 -125
Joc Pederson 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Joey Bart 0.5 +130 0.5 -190

Giants vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Belt 0.5 +260 0.5 -450
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
David Villar 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Joc Pederson 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Joey Bart 0.5 +333 0.5 -600

Giants vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Rodon 7.5 -155 7.5 +110
Corbin Burnes 7.5 -145 7.5 +100
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 69 games (+13.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 69 games (+6.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 29 away games (+4.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+12.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+5.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 42 games (+2.85 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.45 Units / 34% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 38-51 against the Run Line (-15.65 Units / -14.54% ROI).

  • 49-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -6.47% ROI
  • 43-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.8 Units / -1.83% ROI
  • 41-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.5 Units / -5.62% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 42-45 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -5.21% ROI).

  • 45-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -10.93% ROI
  • 42-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -2.46% ROI
  • 40-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -7.03% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of 46% (54/118) against Corbin Burnes on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 56% of the time (233/418) since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 69% of the time (85/124) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (303/795) against Corbin Burnes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodón: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 39% (79 SO in 203 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has a strikeout rate of 34% (30 SO in 87 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of just .292 (106 Total Bases / 363 ABs) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 95th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has allowed an OPS of just .561 (400 PA’s) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .676 — 94th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Brewers are just 3-19 (.136) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.

The Brewers are just 4-5 (.444) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 28-21 (.571) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Brewers are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Giants are 35-2 (.946) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Giants are 4-33 (.108) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Giants are 31-5 (.861) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Giants are just 6-9 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are batting just .227 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Brewers hitters are averaging 4.08 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Brewers hitters are slugging just .382 against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.

The Brewers have a winning percentage of 60% on the road since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Giants have a winning percentage of 60% on the road since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Giants hitters have an OBP of just .294 (371 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.

The Giants are batting just .136 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.

Brewers pitchers have walked 14 of 107 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers pitchers have walked 14 of 99 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Brewers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (2,103 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 652 of 9,264 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Giants pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Giants vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Thomas La Stella (Giants): COVID-19, D10
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Concussion, D7
  • Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Christian Yelich (Brewers): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Giants vs Brewers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.