- The Giants (46-43) are -130 favorites vs the Brewers (50-41)
- Brewers starting pitcher: Eric Lauer (6-3), 3.82 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb (3-4), 4.57 ERA
- Watch the game on FOX
The Milwaukee Brewers (+105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-130) on Saturday, July 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Brewers vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 50-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 44-45 ATS.
Brewers vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 +100 | +105 |
| Giants | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -120 | -130 |
Brewers vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 63.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 32 away games (+12.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+11.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+10.25 Units / 56% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.60 Units / 120% ROI)
- Donovan Walton has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Luis Gonzalez has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Darin Ruf has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 18 games at home (+6.90 Units / 38% ROI)
Giants vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Slater | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| David Villar | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Giants vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Slater | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| David Villar | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -125 |
Giants vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Slater | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Darin Ruf | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| David Villar | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Joey Bart | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Giants vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Cobb | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -125 |
| Eric Lauer | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 71 games (+14.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 71 games (+5.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 away games (+3.60 Units / 20% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+14.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+5.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 44 games (+4.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.45 Units / 26% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 38-53 against the Run Line (-17.65 Units / -16.1% ROI).
- 50-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -6.57% ROI
- 44-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -1.84% ROI
- 42-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -5.59% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 44-45 against the Run Line (-3.55 Units / -3.23% ROI).
- 46-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -10.76% ROI
- 43-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -2.46% ROI
- 41-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -6.97% ROI
Eric Lauer: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eric Lauer has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.024 (42 Total Bases / 41 ABs) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: .579 — first Percentile.
Eric Lauer has allowed an OPS of 1.628 (53 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 1.035 — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (67/213) against Eric Lauer this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (35/99) against Eric Lauer in two-strike counts this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — ninth Percentile.
Alexander Cobb: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 38% of the time (281/736) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (618/1,283) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total CH; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (32/46) against Alex Cobb with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (119/188) against Alex Cobb this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Brewers are 27-8 (.771) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Brewers are just 3-20 (.130) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.
The Brewers are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 5-31 (.139) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .117.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Giants are just 6-10 (.375) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Giants are 15-6 (.714) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .662.
The Giants are 5-31 (.139) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .117.
The Giants are 5-33 (.132) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .693 (2,499 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Brewers hitters have 601 strikeouts in 2,499 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Brewers are batting just .228 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting just .210 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Giants hitters have drawn 250 walks in 2,448 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Giants are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .158.
Giants hitters are slugging .626 against LHP this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 16 of 118 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 137 of 2,256 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Evan Longoria (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Thomas La Stella (Giants): COVID-19, D10
- Wilmer Flores (Giants): Calf, Day-to-Day
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Concussion, D7
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
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