Brewers vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 16, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Giants (46-43) are -130 favorites vs the Brewers (50-41)
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Eric Lauer (6-3), 3.82 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Alexander Cobb (3-4), 4.57 ERA
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Milwaukee Brewers (+105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-130) on Saturday, July 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Brewers vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Brewers are 50-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 44-45 ATS.

Brewers vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers+1.5 -190O 7.5 +100+105
Giants -1.5 +155U 7.5 -120-130

Brewers vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 63.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 32 away games (+12.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+11.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Andrew McCutchen has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+10.25 Units / 56% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.60 Units / 120% ROI)
  • Donovan Walton has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Brandon Belt has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Luis Gonzalez has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Darin Ruf has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 18 games at home (+6.90 Units / 38% ROI)

Giants vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Slater 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +750 0.5 -2500
Darin Ruf 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
David Villar 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Joey Bart 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

Giants vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Slater 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Brandon Crawford 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Darin Ruf 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
David Villar 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Joey Bart 0.5 -110 0.5 -125

Giants vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Slater 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Brandon Crawford 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Darin Ruf 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
David Villar 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Joey Bart 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Giants vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Cobb 4.5 -110 4.5 -125
Eric Lauer 5.5 -115 5.5 -120
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 71 games (+14.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 71 games (+5.95 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 away games (+3.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+14.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+5.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 44 games (+4.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.45 Units / 26% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 38-53 against the Run Line (-17.65 Units / -16.1% ROI).

  • 50-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -6.57% ROI
  • 44-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -1.84% ROI
  • 42-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -5.59% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 44-45 against the Run Line (-3.55 Units / -3.23% ROI).

  • 46-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -10.76% ROI
  • 43-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -2.46% ROI
  • 41-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -6.97% ROI

Eric Lauer has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.024 (42 Total Bases / 41 ABs) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: .579 — first Percentile.

Eric Lauer has allowed an OPS of 1.628 (53 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 1.035 — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (67/213) against Eric Lauer this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (35/99) against Eric Lauer in two-strike counts this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — ninth Percentile.

Alexander Cobb: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 38% of the time (281/736) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (618/1,283) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total CH; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (32/46) against Alex Cobb with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (119/188) against Alex Cobb this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Brewers are 27-8 (.771) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Brewers are just 3-20 (.130) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.

The Brewers are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 5-31 (.139) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .117.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Giants are just 6-10 (.375) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 15-6 (.714) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .662.

The Giants are 5-31 (.139) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .117.

The Giants are 5-33 (.132) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

Brewers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .693 (2,499 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Brewers hitters have 601 strikeouts in 2,499 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Brewers are batting just .228 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Giants are batting just .210 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Giants hitters have drawn 250 walks in 2,448 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Giants are batting just .122 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .158.

Giants hitters are slugging .626 against LHP this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Brewers pitchers have walked 16 of 118 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Brewers pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 137 of 2,256 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Evan Longoria (Giants): Oblique, D10
  • Thomas La Stella (Giants): COVID-19, D10
  • Wilmer Flores (Giants): Calf, Day-to-Day
  • José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Jakob Junis (Giants): Groin, D15
  • Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
  • Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
  • Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
  • Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
  • Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Concussion, D7
  • Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
  • Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D15
  • Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
  • Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.