- The Giants (47-43) are -155 favorites vs the Brewers (50-42)
- Brewers starting pitcher: Aaron Ashby (2-6), 4.36 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb (8-3), 2.82 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Milwaukee Brewers (+125) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-155) on Sunday, July 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Giants are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Brewers vs Giants Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Brewers are 50-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 44-46 ATS.
Brewers vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -160 | O 7.5 -110 | +125 |
| Giants | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 -110 | -155 |
Brewers vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 67.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 33 away games (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 35 games (+10.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joc Pederson has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.60 Units / 120% ROI)
- Donovan Walton has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)
- Luis Gonzalez has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+7.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.10 Units / 36% ROI)
Giants vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Thairo Estrada | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Wilmer Flores | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Giants vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -120 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 -105 |
| Thairo Estrada | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Giants vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Thairo Estrada | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Giants vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Ashby | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -115 |
| Logan Webb | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 72 games (+13.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 away games (+3.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.20 Units / 22% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Giants: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+12.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+6.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 45 games (+3.85 Units / 7% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.45 Units / 32% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 39-53 against the Run Line (-16.65 Units / -14.94% ROI).
- 50-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -7.23% ROI
- 44-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -2.85% ROI
- 43-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -4.54% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 44-46 against the Run Line (-4.55 Units / -4.1% ROI).
- 47-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.45 Units / -9.91% ROI
- 43-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -3.49% ROI
- 42-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.9 Units / -5.89% ROI
Aaron Ashby: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 36% (302/842) against Aaron Ashby in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (94/153) against Aaron Ashby this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 18% (5/27) against Aaron Ashby — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 57% of Aaron Ashby’s pitches in the zone (341/601) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.
Logan Webb: Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 75% of the time (383/508) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .422 (27-for-64) against Logan Webb on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .270 — fifth Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 60% of the time (1,674/2,766) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown low pitches 70% of the time (683/969) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Brewers are 29-23 (.558) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Brewers are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are just 3-20 (.130) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.
The Brewers are 27-8 (.771) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Giants are 15-6 (.714) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .661.
The Giants are 5-33 (.132) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Giants are 5-31 (.139) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Giants are 32-5 (.865) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 39 strikeouts in 122 PA’s (32%) against LHP over the last 14 days (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Brewers are batting just .318 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Brewers hitters have 601 strikeouts in 2,499 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Giants hitters have an OBP of .325 (6,956 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Giants are batting just .209 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Giants are batting just .136 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% in close and late situations since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 16 of 126 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (14 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.5 MPH (2,173 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
The Brewers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.5 MPH this season (2,173 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 663 of 9,385 batters (7%) since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Giants pitchers have walked 49 of 804 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Curtis Casali (Giants): Oblique, D10
- Thomas La Stella (Giants): COVID-19, D10
- José Álvarez (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Mauricio Llovera (Giants): Hip, D15
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Right Knee, D10
- Colton Welker (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Delaplane (Giants): Forearm, D60
- Zack Littell (Giants): Oblique, D15
- Anthony DeSclafani (Giants): Ankle, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Luis Perdomo (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Alex J Jackson (Brewers): Finger, D10
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Concussion, D7
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Flexor, D15
- Jake O. Cousins (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sánchez (Brewers): Elbow, D15
- Justin Topa (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Freddy Peralta (Brewers): Lat, D60
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