- The Giants are -120 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta, 0.00 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Sean Hjelle, 1.80 ERA
The Milwaukee Brewers (+100) visit Scottsdale Stadium to take on the San Francisco Giants (-120) on Thursday, March 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Scottsdale.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Brewers vs Giants Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Brewers are 3-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 2-6 ATS.
Brewers vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -185 | O 11 -120 | +100 |
| Giants | -1.5 +150 | U 11 +100 | -120 |
Brewers vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s Spring Training matchup with 52.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+3.00 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 87% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Brandon Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.25 Units / 20% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 away games (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 30 of their last 52 games (+8.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 46 of their last 99 games (+5.90 Units / 4% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 73 games at home (+17.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games at home (+11.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 109 games (+10.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.80 Units / 29% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 4-4 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -9.86% ROI).
- 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -31.77% ROI
- 2-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -29.28% ROI
- 4-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 22.54% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 2-6 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -51.69% ROI).
- 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -53.16% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 19.89% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -27.84% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .183 (97-for-531) against Freddy Peralta on pitches in the strike zone since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .277 — 100th Percentile.
Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting just .148 (77-for-520) against Freddy Peralta since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .237 — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 44% (113 SO in 257 PAs) versus the bottom of the order since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has allowed an OPS of just .461 (580 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .681 — 100th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The last hit on a Sean Hjelle breaking pitch was September 20th, 2022. Hitters are 0 for their last 18 in ABs ending on his breaking pitches. — Drew VerHagen has the longest active streak at 21.
The last hit on a Sean Hjelle slider was September 20th, 2022. Hitters are 0 for their last 18 in ABs ending on his slider. — Carlos Rodon has the longest active streak at 21.
Right-handed batters batted .364 (16-for-44) against Sean Hjelle over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — fourth Percentile.
Sean Hjelle allowed an OBP of .451 (51 PA’s) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — third Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Brewers are 23-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Brewers are 22-9 (.710) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Brewers are 32-21 (.604) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are just 17-62 (.215) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Giants are 25-4 (.862) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Giants are 24-134 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Giants are 28-11 (.718) when scoring in the first inning last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Giants are 8-65 (.110) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters averaged 4.05 pitches per plate appearance against RHP last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Brewers hitters averaged 4.06 pitches per plate appearance last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
The Brewers batted just .230 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Brewers hitters struck out 440 times in 1,711 PA’s (26%) against LHP last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants batted just .216 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Giants batted .368 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Giants hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Giants hitters slugged .624 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 177 of 2,900 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers have walked 857 of 12,072 batters (7%) since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
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