Brewers vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2023, 11:25 AM
  • The Giants are -120 favorites vs the Brewers
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta, 0.00 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Sean Hjelle, 1.80 ERA

The Milwaukee Brewers (+100) visit Scottsdale Stadium to take on the San Francisco Giants (-120) on Thursday, March 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Scottsdale.

The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Brewers vs Giants Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Brewers are 3-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 2-6 ATS.

Brewers vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers+1.5 -185O 11 -120+100
Giants -1.5 +150U 11 +100-120

Brewers vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Thursday‘s Spring Training matchup with 52.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Brewers vs Giants and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 9 games (+3.00 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Brandon Crawford has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 away games (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 30 of their last 52 games (+8.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.70 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 46 of their last 99 games (+5.90 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 73 games at home (+17.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games at home (+11.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 109 games (+10.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.80 Units / 29% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 4-4 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -9.86% ROI).

  • 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -31.77% ROI
  • 2-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -29.28% ROI
  • 4-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 22.54% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 2-6 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -51.69% ROI).

  • 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -53.16% ROI
  • 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 19.89% ROI
  • 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -27.84% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .183 (97-for-531) against Freddy Peralta on pitches in the strike zone since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .277 — 100th Percentile.

Hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order are hitting just .148 (77-for-520) against Freddy Peralta since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .237 — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 44% (113 SO in 257 PAs) versus the bottom of the order since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has allowed an OPS of just .461 (580 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .681 — 100th Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

The last hit on a Sean Hjelle breaking pitch was September 20th, 2022. Hitters are 0 for their last 18 in ABs ending on his breaking pitches. — Drew VerHagen has the longest active streak at 21.

The last hit on a Sean Hjelle slider was September 20th, 2022. Hitters are 0 for their last 18 in ABs ending on his slider. — Carlos Rodon has the longest active streak at 21.

Right-handed batters batted .364 (16-for-44) against Sean Hjelle over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — fourth Percentile.

Sean Hjelle allowed an OBP of .451 (51 PA’s) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — third Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Brewers are 23-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Brewers are 22-9 (.710) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.

The Brewers are 32-21 (.604) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are just 17-62 (.215) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Giants are 25-4 (.862) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The Giants are 24-134 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Giants are 28-11 (.718) when scoring in the first inning last season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

The Giants are 8-65 (.110) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

Brewers hitters averaged 4.05 pitches per plate appearance against RHP last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Brewers hitters averaged 4.06 pitches per plate appearance last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

The Brewers batted just .230 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Brewers hitters struck out 440 times in 1,711 PA’s (26%) against LHP last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Giants batted just .216 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

The Giants batted .368 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .336.

Giants hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Giants hitters slugged .624 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .560.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Brewers pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Giants pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 177 of 2,900 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants pitchers have walked 857 of 12,072 batters (7%) since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported
  • Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.