- The Brewers are -120 favorites vs the Giants
- Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
- Giants starting pitcher: Sean Manaea
- Watch the game on NBCS-BA
The Milwaukee Brewers (-120) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+100) on Friday, May 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT in San Francisco.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Brewers vs Giants Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 18-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 14-16 ATS.
Brewers vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +140 | O 8 -115 | -120 |
| Giants | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -105 | +100 |
Brewers vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 67.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Brewers vs Giants and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 22 games (+11.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+9.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+8.75 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+13.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+9.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+9.55 Units / 65% ROI)
- David Villar has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+7.65 Units / 23% ROI)
Giants vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Giants vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Giants vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D. Davis | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Joc Pederson | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Giants vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -115 |
| Sean Manaea | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +115 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+4.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 29 games (+2.35 Units / 6% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.25 Units / 57% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.60 Units / 53% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 15-16 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -1.22% ROI).
- 18-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 7.06% ROI
- 13-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -18.6% ROI
- 17-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.75 Units / 8.26% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 14-16 against the Run Line (-4.7 Units / -11.18% ROI).
- 13-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -16.52% ROI
- 14-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -7.78% ROI
- 15-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -0.46% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .305 against Corbin Burnes vs right-handed batters this season — tied for seventh worst among qualified SPs– ninth Percentile. Right handed batters hit just .190 (68-for-357) against Corbin Burnes last season — fourth best among qualified SPs– 93rd Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 63% of the time (177/282) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 70% of the time (197/282) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 68% (32/47) against Corbin Burnes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has allowed an OPS of 1.378 (124 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 1.053 — fifth Percentile.
Sean Manaea has an ERA of 6.55 (90.2 IP) on the road since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 4.07 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 46% (69/151) against Sean Manaea on changeups since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 33% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 26% (262/1,012) against Sean Manaea since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 31% — fourth Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Brewers are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Brewers are 11-63 (.149) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .122.
The Brewers are just 73-14 (.839) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .878.
The Brewers are 6-3 (.667) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .601.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Giants are 53-65 (.449) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Giants are 11-3 (.786) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
The Giants are 5-5 (.500) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The Giants are just 1-11 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have an OBP of just .273 (289 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Brewers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .605 (289 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .342 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Giants hitters have 317 strikeouts in 1,158 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters have 116 strikeouts in 391 PA’s (30%) against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting .370 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in late innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Brewers pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 80 of 1,147 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Robert Wood (Giants): Hamstring, D15
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Giants): Wrist, D10
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Bryce Johnson (Giants): Concussion, D7
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Sean Manaea (Giants): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Brandon Crawford (Giants): Calf, D10
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Michael Yastrzemski (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Gus Varland (Brewers): Hand, D15
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Groin, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
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