- The Mariners are -160 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Milwaukee Brewers (+135) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-160) on Tuesday, April 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Brewers vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 12-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 8-9 ATS.
Brewers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -110 | +135 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -110 | -160 |
Brewers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 70.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.40 Units / 79% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.75 Units / 54% ROI)
- Joey Wiemer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.65 Units / 61% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+11.05 Units / 65% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+10.20 Units / 64% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+8.65 Units / 57% ROI)
Mariners vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Mariners vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Mariners vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Kolten Wong | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Mariners vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+9.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 48% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.65 Units / 22% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 11-6 against the Run Line (+5.35 Units / 25.06% ROI).
- 12-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.35 Units / 41.85% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -11.08% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 1.36% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 8-9 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -8.82% ROI).
- 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -12.83% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 7.14% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -15.32% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colin Rea has allowed an OBP of just .158 (19 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .324 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .111 (2-for-18) against Colin Rea this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .255 — 98th Percentile.
Colin Rea has allowed a BABIP of .091 this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .302 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .111 (2-for-18) against Colin Rea — tied for 5th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .238 — 95th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .029 (1-for-35) against Logan Gilbert with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .177 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .483 (43-for-89) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: .340 — first Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .054 (37 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .255 — 99th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .083 (37 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .532 — 99th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Brewers are 5-1 (.833) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Brewers are 18-10 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 12-4 (.750) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .542.
The Brewers are just 80-5 (.941) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Mariners are 34-12 (.739) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners are 75-2 (.974) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Mariners are 77-2 (.975) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .955.
The Mariners are 66-13 (.835) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .385 (226 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .325.
The Brewers are batting just .222 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of .905 (226 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.09 pitches per plate appearance against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have 13 extra-base hits out of 24 total hits (54%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Mariners are batting just .218 at home since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Mariners hitters have drawn 200 walks in 1,908 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mariners are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Brewers pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 6 double plays in 133 opportunities (4%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mariners pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hand, D10
- Samuel Haggerty (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Gus Varland (Brewers): Hand, D15
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D10
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Oblique, Day-to-Day
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Groin, D15
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Corbin Burnes (Brewers): Pectoral, Day-to-Day
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