- The Brewers are +105 favorites vs the Mariners
- Brewers vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Brewers / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | FDWI
The Milwaukee Brewers (+105) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-125) on Monday, July 21, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Brewers are 59-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 42-55 ATS.
Brewers vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff 1-0, 2.62 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 4-4, 4.50 ERA
Brewers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +180 | O 7 -115 | +105 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -220 | U 7 -105 | -125 |
Brewers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Isaac Collins has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+12.90 Units / 184% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Isaac Collins has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+9.75 Units / 96% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games at home (+24.70 Units / 247% ROI)
- Logan Gilbert has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.00 Units / 51% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 53 games (+22.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 48 of their last 95 games (+21.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 57 of their last 95 games (+14.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 37 away games (+13.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 54 of their last 92 games (+13.34 Units / 12% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 87 games (+16.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+6.35 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+4.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 53-44 against the Run Line (+2.4 Units / 1.78% ROI).
- 59-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.4 Units / 13.88% ROI
- 42-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.95 Units / -16.38% ROI
- 54-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.9 Units / 7.29% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 42-55 against the Run Line (-13.65 Units / -11.34% ROI).
- 53-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -2.12% ROI
- 55-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.15 Units / 11.19% ROI
- 39-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.62 Units / -19.78% ROI
Mariners vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -325 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Mariners vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mariners vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
Mariners vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Woodruff (MIL) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
| George Kirby (SEA) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Woodruff has a strikeout rate of 47% (18 SO in 38 PAs) this month (2 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Brandon Woodruff has at least 6 strikeouts in each of his last eight games — Zack Wheeler has the longest active streak at 15.
Brandon Woodruff has not allowed a walk in his last 77 PAs against a RHH dating back to August 25th, 2023 — Dennis Santana has the longest active streak at 94.
Brandon Woodruff allowed a BABIP of .204 in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .295 — 99th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby’s K:BB ratio was 11.4 (91/8) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.8 — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 2% of right-handed batters in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 2% of right-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby walked 3% of batters in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Brewers are 22-3 (.880) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Brewers are 11-1 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Brewers are 36-22 (.621) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .506.
The Brewers are 26-23 (.531) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .452.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Mariners are 39-2 (.951) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Mariners are 8-35 (.186) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .123.
The Mariners are 32-4 (.889) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Mariners are 114-3 (.974) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .100 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .337 (1,941 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Brewers hitters have struck out in just 14% of their PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .469 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .222 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of .346 (2,071 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Mariners hitters are slugging .716 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .580.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 52% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 56% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 57% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers pitchers have struck out 32% of left-handed batters they faced over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .268 (2,339 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
More MLB Reading:
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